{"paper":{"title":"Absolute Risk Prediction for Cannabis Use Disorder in Adolescence and Early Adulthood Using Bayesian Machine Learning","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["stat.ML"],"primary_cat":"stat.AP","authors_text":"Joseph M. Boden, Pankaj K. Choudhary, Swati Biswas, Tingfang Wang","submitted_at":"2025-01-15T21:17:02Z","abstract_excerpt":"Introduction: Substance use disorders (SUDs) have emerged as a pressing public health concern in the United States, with adolescent substance use often leading to SUDs in adulthood. Effective strategies are needed to stem this progression. To help fulfill this need, we developed a novel absolute risk prediction model for cannabis use disorder (CUD) for adolescents or young adults who use cannabis. Methods: We trained a Bayesian machine learning model that provides a personalized CUD absolute risk for adolescents or young adults who use cannabis with data from the National Longitudinal Study of"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2501.09156","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2501.09156/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}