{"paper":{"title":"Skills for forecasting space weather","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"physics.space-ph","authors_text":"H.J. Austin, N.P. Savani","submitted_at":"2026-08-08T12:30:39Z","abstract_excerpt":"Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the Sun can have severe impacts on the Earth environment in the form of geomagnetic storms. These storms pose a risk to the global technological infrastructure, making the prediction of these events imperative. In this paper, we have broadened the statistical verification of the Bz4Cast tool, the first empirically-driven model to forecast solar wind magnetic vectors inside a CME prior to their Earth arrival. Twenty five CME events (between 2012 and 2016) have been tested with the Bz4Cast model, and the skills have been compared to the heuristic approach of NO"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2608.08102","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2608.08102/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}