{"paper":{"title":"Will It Go Viral? Grounding Micro-Video Popularity Prediction on the Open Web","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"cs.MM","authors_text":"Dongha Lee, Ryang Heo","submitted_at":"2026-05-18T17:00:15Z","abstract_excerpt":"Micro-video popularity prediction (MVPP) forecasts the popularity a newly uploaded short-form video will attract within a fixed number of days after upload. This task supports downstream applications in recommendation, advertising, and creator analytics, yet the problem is hard since virality depends on external trends rather than video content alone. Prior MVPP methods incorporate context by retrieving similar videos from platform-internal corpora, however historical neighbors cannot reveal whether a topic is currently trending, controversial, or already saturated across the open web. To this"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2605.18653","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2605.18653/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[{"name":"claim_evidence","ran_at":"2026-05-20T00:01:59.164928Z","status":"completed","version":"1.0.0","findings_count":0}],"snapshot_sha256":"ba191288d602630bd5294b026fe8da8f15f3b70ef1e9c64bdc91ee5a17e37735"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}