{"paper":{"title":"Efficient Propagation of Uncertainty via Reordering Monte Carlo Samples","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["cs.NA","math.NA","stat.CO","stat.ME"],"primary_cat":"cs.LG","authors_text":"Danial Khatamsaz, Douglas L. Allaire, Raymundo Arroyave, Vahid Attari","submitted_at":"2023-02-09T21:28:15Z","abstract_excerpt":"Uncertainty analysis in the outcomes of model predictions is a key element in decision-based material design to establish confidence in the models and evaluate the fidelity of models. Uncertainty Propagation (UP) is a technique to determine model output uncertainties based on the uncertainty in its input variables. The most common and simplest approach to propagate the uncertainty from a model inputs to its outputs is by feeding a large number of samples to the model, known as Monte Carlo (MC) simulation which requires exhaustive sampling from the input variable distributions. However, MC simu"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2302.04945","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2302.04945/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}