{"paper":{"title":"Interrupted Time Series Analysis Of Count Data With Nuisance Interruptions","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"stat.AP","authors_text":"Benjamin Stockton, Erinn M. Hade, Linda G. Kahn, Shilpi S. Mehta-Lee","submitted_at":"2026-07-21T18:11:41Z","abstract_excerpt":"Interrupted time series analysis has been used to model the effect of policy and other interventions on public health by forecasting a counterfactual time series during the intervention period using data from prior to the intervention. However, due to typically relying on a single study unit, this approach risks not adjusting for other interruptions that precede and co-occur during the intervention period. The COVID-19 pandemic is a prominent example of this phenomenon of nuisance interruptions in contemporary public health research. To address this complication, we propose using Bayesian stac"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2607.19493","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2607.19493/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}