{"paper":{"title":"From populations to absolute binding affinities in molecular simulations: exact volumetric terms and practical estimators","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["physics.app-ph","physics.bio-ph","physics.chem-ph","physics.data-an"],"primary_cat":"physics.comp-ph","authors_text":"Charles Plate, Davide Mandelli, Emiliano Ippoliti","submitted_at":"2026-08-05T13:34:22Z","abstract_excerpt":"We present a statistical-mechanics framework for computing equilibrium binding constants $K$ in the dilute limit. From first principles, we derive a general expression relating $K$ to the relative populations of the bound and unbound states. Its transparency has twofold advantage: it makes the origin of the unbound-state volumetric term explicit, and it allows one to track exactly how an imposed volume restraint propagates through the expression. This makes $K$ directly computable, as restrained simulations can account for the volumetric contribution exactly, under the physically mild assumpti"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2608.04834","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2608.04834/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}