{"paper":{"title":"When Do AI Gains Become Broadly Shareable? A Policy Threshold for AI-Driven Automation","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["cs.AI","cs.GT","q-fin.EC"],"primary_cat":"econ.GN","authors_text":"Aran Nayebi","submitted_at":"2025-05-24T13:08:13Z","abstract_excerpt":"AI-driven automation generates broad-based social benefit only if technical gains become visible, durable, and publicly claimable. We develop a policy-facing stress test by extending a standard task-automation growth model with an AI capability parameter that raises productivity on automatable tasks while holding the set of tasks fixed. The exercise is intentionally limited: it is not a forecast of AI timelines or a full welfare analysis, but a way to identify which institutions determine whether AI rents can support broad transfers. Calibrated to U.S. quantities, the model shows that capabili"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2505.18687","kind":"arxiv","version":4},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2505.18687/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}