{"paper":{"title":"Using Bayes formula to estimate rates of rare events in transition path sampling simulations","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["physics.chem-ph"],"primary_cat":"cond-mat.stat-mech","authors_text":"Manuel Ath\\`enes, Mihai-Cosmin Marinica, Pierre Terrier","submitted_at":"2015-09-24T20:26:09Z","abstract_excerpt":"Transition path sampling is a method for estimating the rates of rare events in molecular systems based on the gradual transformation of a path distribution containing a small fraction of reactive trajectories into a biased distribution in which these rare trajectories have become frequent. Then, a multistate reweighting scheme is implemented to postprocess data collected from the staged simulations. Herein, we show how Bayes formula allows to directly construct a biased sample containing an enhanced fraction of reactive trajectories and to concomitantly estimate the transition rate from this "},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1509.08371","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}