{"paper":{"title":"Identifying the MPC-Liquidity Gradient in High-Quality Data","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["q-fin.EC"],"primary_cat":"econ.GN","authors_text":"Erik \\\"Oberg, Karl Walentin, Marco D'Amico, Mikael Carlsson, Oskar N. Skans","submitted_at":"2026-07-08T06:29:42Z","abstract_excerpt":"We estimate the gradient of the Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) with respect to liquidity using a new estimator designed for administrative data with negligible measurement error in income. We derive a state-dependent consumption pass-through equation from the canonical buffer-stock model, and show that the pass-through coefficient of this equation can be used to construct tight bounds on the MPC conditional on the relevant state. We recover latent permanent and transitory income shocks with a Kalman smoother and use them as regressors in an empirical representation of the consumption equ"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2607.07055","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2607.07055/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}