{"paper":{"title":"A Heuristic approach to the Iwasawa theory of elliptic curves","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["math.PR"],"primary_cat":"math.NT","authors_text":"Anwesh Ray, Katharina M\\\"uller","submitted_at":"2024-09-23T14:32:23Z","abstract_excerpt":"Let $E_{/\\mathbb{Q}}$ be an elliptic curve and $p$ an odd prime such that $E$ has good ordinary reduction at $p$ and the Galois representation on $E[p]$ is irreducible. Then Greenberg's $\\mu=0$ conjecture predicts that the Selmer group of $E$ over the cyclotomic $\\mathbb{Z}_p$-extension of $\\mathbb{Q}$ is cofinitely generated as a $\\mathbb{Z}_p$-module. In this article we study this conjecture from a statistical perspective. We extend the heuristics of Poonen and Rains to obtain further evidence for Greenberg's conjecture. The key idea is that the vanishing of the $\\mu$-invariant can be detect"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2409.15056","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}