{"paper":{"title":"Deep-learning surrogate crop modelling for scalable seasonal-to-climate crop-risk assessment","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"cs.CE","authors_text":"Andrea Toreti, Andrej Ceglar, Elena Xoplaki, Juerg Luterbacher, Niklas Luther, Odysseas Vlachopoulos","submitted_at":"2026-02-24T14:07:41Z","abstract_excerpt":"Anticipating climate-related crop stress requires crop-risk information that is spatially explicit, probabilistic and fast enough for large seasonal forecast and climate-scenario ensembles. We present the Surrogate Engine for Crop Simulations Framework (SECSF), a deep-learning framework that emulates the process-based ECroPS model using only daily minimum and maximum temperature and precipitation. Trained on ERA5-forced ECroPS simulations for grain maize and spring barley, SECSF closely reproduces daily crop-growth dynamics and harvest timing while reducing computational cost by around four or"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2602.20928","kind":"arxiv","version":3},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2602.20928/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}