{"paper":{"title":"Simultaneous Credible Regions for Multiple Changepoint Locations","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["stat.TH"],"primary_cat":"math.ST","authors_text":"Marc Hellmuth, Tobias Siems, Volkmar Liebscher","submitted_at":"2016-10-13T18:59:49Z","abstract_excerpt":"Within a Bayesian retrospective framework, we present a way of examining the distribution of \\cps through a novel set estimator. For a given level, $\\alpha$, we aim at smallest sets that cover all \\cps with a probability of at least $1-\\alpha$. These so-called smallest simultaneous credible regions, computed for certain values of $\\alpha$, provide parsimonious representations of the possible \\cp locations. In addition, combining them for a range of different $\\alpha$'s enables very informative yet condensed visualisations. Therewith we allow for the evaluation of model choices and the analysis"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1610.04199","kind":"arxiv","version":4},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}