{"paper":{"title":"Regression on Regression: Mapping Data-Driven Binary Black Hole Merger Rate Fits to Progenitor Histories","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["astro-ph.SR"],"primary_cat":"astro-ph.HE","authors_text":"Aryanna Schiebelbein-Zwack, Emma Blanchet, Maya Fishbach","submitted_at":"2026-06-01T16:06:10Z","abstract_excerpt":"The binary black hole (BBH) merger rate is governed by the progenitor formation rate and the distribution of delay-times between formation and merger, but these functions remain poorly constrained. We introduce a framework that maps the parameters of physics-driven models directly onto existing data-driven fits of the BBH merger rate. This ``regression on regression'' approach enables physical interpretation of flexible population models without the computational burden of reanalyzing the underlying gravitational-wave event data. Applying this method to the \\textsc{B-Spline} merger-rate poster"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2606.02431","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2606.02431/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}