{"paper":{"title":"Evaluating the Impact of COVID-19 Vaccination in the United Kingdom: A Gaussian Process Approach","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["stat.AP","stat.ML"],"primary_cat":"stat.ME","authors_text":"Gianluca Giudice, Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos, Sara Geneletti","submitted_at":"2022-10-06T12:10:57Z","abstract_excerpt":"The rapid rollout of COVID-19 vaccines in the United Kingdom in early 2021 differed markedly from that of many other European countries, providing a natural setting to assess the impact of vaccination speed on public health outcomes. We evaluate the impact of the accelerated UK vaccination rollout and associated policy transition on COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics by constructing a probabilistic reference trajectory for the UK under a slower vaccination and reopening trajectory. The proposed framework combines ideas from interrupted time series analysis and synthetic control metho"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2210.02850","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2210.02850/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}