{"paper":{"title":"Statistical Downscaling of Model Projections with Multivariate Basis Graphical Lasso","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["stat.AP"],"primary_cat":"stat.ME","authors_text":"Amy Braverman, Ayesha Ekanayaka, Emily Kang, Peter Kalmus","submitted_at":"2022-01-31T10:43:45Z","abstract_excerpt":"We describe an improved statistical downscaling method for Earth science applications using multivariate Basis Graphical Lasso (BGL). We demonstrate our method using a case study of sea surface temperature (SST) projections from CMIP6 Earth system models, which has direct applications for studies of multi-decadal projections of coral reef bleaching. We find that the BGL downscaling method is computationally tractable for large data sets, and that mean squared predictive error is roughly 8% lower than the current state-of-the-art interpolation-based statistical downscaling method. Finally, unli"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2201.13111","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2201.13111/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}