{"paper":{"title":"Non-parametric estimators of scaled cash flows","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["stat.ME","stat.TH"],"primary_cat":"math.ST","authors_text":"C. Furrer, T. Bathke","submitted_at":"2024-08-23T15:53:01Z","abstract_excerpt":"In multi-state life insurance, incidental policyholder behavior gives rise to expected cash flows that are not easily targeted by classic non-parametric estimators if data is subject to sampling effects. We introduce a scaled version of the classic Aalen--Johansen estimator that overcomes this challenge. Strong uniform consistency and asymptotic normality are established under entirely random right-censoring, subject to lax moment conditions on the multivariate counting process. In a simulation study, the estimator outperforms earlier proposals from the literature. Finally, we showcase the pot"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2408.13176","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2408.13176/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}