{"paper":{"title":"M-SDT: A modelling framework for dengue transmission, forecasting, and intervention strategies in Ahmedabad Municipal Corporation","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"q-bio.PE","authors_text":"Bhavin Solanki, Chirag Shah, Indrajit Ghosh, Raj C. Sharma, Rajendra Gadhavi, Sourav Roy","submitted_at":"2026-05-18T07:30:00Z","abstract_excerpt":"Dengue fever poses a persistent public health challenge in rapidly urbanizing Indian cities such as Ahmedabad, where spatial heterogeneity and seasonal variability complicate forecasting and control. In this study, we develop a data-driven compartmental framework to simulate transmission dynamics, generate forecasts, and evaluate intervention strategies across the Ahmedabad Municipal Corporation (AMC). We employ a Mechanistic Seasonal Dengue Transmission (M-SDT) model that incorporates symptomatic and asymptomatic infections. We calibrated the proposed model using zone-wise dengue case data du"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2605.17975","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2605.17975/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[{"name":"ai_meta_artifact","ran_at":"2026-05-19T23:33:35.570959Z","status":"skipped","version":"1.0.0","findings_count":0}],"snapshot_sha256":"06106baa56df21bae1fc719b11c0171fde1f8246ddf0ba994505e517dd723598"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}