{"paper":{"title":"On the Connection Between Differential Population Growth Rate and Epidemic Reproduction Numbers","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["q-bio.QM"],"primary_cat":"q-bio.PE","authors_text":"Hong Qin","submitted_at":"2026-05-28T02:08:57Z","abstract_excerpt":"During pandemics, public health agencies need to rapidly assess whether a new viral variant is more transmissible than existing lineages. For co-circulating variants, relative fitness can be expressed as a selective coefficient, as the differential population growth rate (DPGR) estimated from genomic surveillance, or, with additional assumptions, as a contrast in epidemic reproduction numbers $R_t$. We show that DPGR estimates a pairwise growth-rate difference. Under a specified generation-interval model, this difference can be transformed into reproduction-number space; in the equal-generatio"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2605.30382","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2605.30382/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}