{"paper":{"title":"Distribution and Evolution of the Debris Cloud from the Fragmentation of Intelsat 33E","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"astro-ph.EP","authors_text":"Meng Zhao, Peng Shu, Yu-Qiang Li, Yu-Yan Zhao, Zhen Yang","submitted_at":"2026-06-01T08:24:32Z","abstract_excerpt":"The breakup of Intelsat 33E on 19 October 2024 posed a potential risk to satellites in the Geostationary Earth Orbit (GEO). This study analyzes the evolution and distribution of these fragments using a probabilistic approach. The initial distribution of the fragments, derived from the NASA Standard Breakup Model, indicates the generation of 4,393 fragments larger than 1 centimeter. The spatial propagation of these fragments is modeled analytically in the Earth-Centered Earth-Fixed reference frame, showing the formation of high-density ring structures in the equatorial plane from 24 hours to 28"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2606.01878","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2606.01878/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}