{"paper":{"title":"A \"nu\" look at gravitational waves: The black hole birth rate from neutrinos combined with the merger rate from LIGO","arxiv_id":"1704.05073","primary_cat":"astro-ph.HE","submitted_at":"2017-04-17T18:00:07+00:00","version_compiled":"v3"},"notice":"Every quoted sentence is the authors' text from the arXiv listing abstract. Labels and probabilities are the outputs of classifier-1.13.0 on the question bank abstract-p1-20260923, exactly as returned. 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up of two components: neutrinos from neutron-star-forming supernovae, and a sub-dominant component at higher energies from black-hole-forming \"unnovae\".","hedge":{"p":0.61,"label":"hedged_possibility"},"own_p":0.05,"main_claim_p":0.02,"quantitative":true,"quantitative_p":0.6,"role_probabilities":{"gap":0.0,"method":0.0,"result":0.0,"background":1.0,"limitation":0.0,"future_work":0.0,"contribution":0.0,"interpretation":0.0}},{"i":2,"p":0.96,"id":"s2","own":true,"role":"method","text":"We perform a Markov Chain Monte Carlo analysis of simulated data of the DSNB in an experiment similar to Hyper-Kamiokande, focusing on this second component.","hedge":{"p":0.98,"label":"asserted"},"own_p":0.94,"main_claim_p":0.03,"quantitative":false,"quantitative_p":0.11,"role_probabilities":{"gap":0.0,"method":0.96,"result":0.0,"background":0.0,"limitation":0.0,"future_work":0.0,"contribution":0.04,"interpretation":0.0}},{"i":3,"p":0.81,"id":"s3","own":true,"role":"method","text":"Since all knowledge of the neutrino emission from unnovae comes from simulations of collapsing stars, we choose two sets of priors: one where the unnovae are well-understood and one where their neutrino emission is poorly known.","hedge":{"p":0.89,"label":"asserted"},"own_p":0.82,"main_claim_p":0.02,"quantitative":false,"quantitative_p":0.11,"role_probabilities":{"gap":0.0,"method":0.81,"result":0.0,"background":0.0,"limitation":0.17,"future_work":0.0,"contribution":0.01,"interpretation":0.0}},{"i":4,"p":1.0,"id":"s4","own":true,"role":"result","text":"By combining the black hole birth rate from the DSNB with projected measurements of the black hole merger rate from LIGO, we show that the fraction of black holes which lead to binary mergers observed today $\\epsilon$ could be constrained to be within the range $2 \\cdot 10^{-4} \\leq \\epsilon \\leq 3 \\cdot 10^{-2}$ at $3 \\sigma$ confidence, after ten years of running an experiment like 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