{"total":2,"items":[{"citing_arxiv_id":"2606.07129","ref_index":47,"ref_count":1,"confidence":0.88,"is_internal_anchor":false,"paper_title":"Collaborative estimation and evaluation of SARS-CoV-2 variant nowcasting in the United States","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2026-06-05T10:41:24+00:00","verdict":"UNVERDICTED","verdict_confidence":"LOW","novelty_score":4.0,"formal_verification":"none","one_line_summary":"A new collaborative hub for nowcasting SARS-CoV-2 variant frequencies at US state level was built and tested; a simple national pooling baseline performed as well as or better than individual models during October 2024–June 2025.","context_count":0,"top_context_role":null,"top_context_polarity":null,"context_text":null},{"citing_arxiv_id":"2605.22676","ref_index":19,"ref_count":1,"confidence":0.88,"is_internal_anchor":false,"paper_title":"Comparison of probabilistic nowcasts and forecasts of SARS-CoV-2 variant proportions made by hierarchical multinomial linear regression models","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2026-05-21T16:19:22+00:00","verdict":"CONDITIONAL","verdict_confidence":"LOW","novelty_score":4.0,"formal_verification":"none","one_line_summary":"Hierarchical multinomial logistic regression models outperform a baseline in probabilistic and point accuracy for SARS-CoV-2 variant nowcasts and forecasts, performing best in high-data locations.","context_count":0,"top_context_role":null,"top_context_polarity":null,"context_text":null}],"limit":50,"offset":0}