A temporal classifier predicts civil case outcomes at AUC 0.74-0.81 and shows that case complexity (entropy of predictions) rises over time while settlement rates peak at intermediate uncertainty levels.
Shavell, Any frequency of plaintiff victory at trial is possible, The Journal of Legal Studies 25 (2) (1996) 493–501
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Predicting civil litigation outcomes and the evolution of case complexity and settlement dynamics
A temporal classifier predicts civil case outcomes at AUC 0.74-0.81 and shows that case complexity (entropy of predictions) rises over time while settlement rates peak at intermediate uncertainty levels.