OLCP and OLCP-Hedge achieve long-run valid coverage in non-exchangeable online settings with narrower prediction sets by localizing conformal prediction to covariates and selecting bandwidth via online convex optimization.
Darts: User-friendly modern machine learning for time series.Journal of Machine Learning Research, 23(124):1–6
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Online Localized Conformal Prediction
OLCP and OLCP-Hedge achieve long-run valid coverage in non-exchangeable online settings with narrower prediction sets by localizing conformal prediction to covariates and selecting bandwidth via online convex optimization.