{"as_of":"2026-08-18T05:54:00Z","caps":{"database_statements":6,"inbound":100,"outbound":100},"context_digest":"sha256:4b80d1e4a0019ea5546b73380af85f51688d63e087b32b88d2d50f3a38e80aa8","coverage":[{"denominator":42,"lane":"reference_resolution","note":"Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.","records_observed":42,"source":"paper_references, paper_reference_links","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.659569Z","state":"measured"},{"denominator":42,"lane":"standing_notices","note":"One-hop event checks from named stored sources.","records_observed":42,"source":"scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache","source_observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","state":"measured"},{"denominator":0,"lane":"inbound_itemization","note":"Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.","records_observed":0,"source":"paper_references, paper_reference_links","source_observed_at":null,"state":"measured"},{"denominator":1,"lane":"external_citation_measurements","note":"A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.","records_observed":0,"source":"cited_works","source_observed_at":null,"state":"measured"}],"external_citation_measurements":[],"inbound":[],"links":{"evidence":"/evidence","html":"/paper/2505.09090/citation-record","integrity":"/paper/2505.09090/integrity","json":"/paper/2505.09090/citation-record.json","paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"outbound":[{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.532355Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"3e0463ff-f13e-4f2f-a2ea-67b8b43d71e5","year":1946},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":1,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.387224Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:cfb25a3d42da5616dbc206a42799f7750c51029677392be0ba1008d73af3b477","observation_id":"35c819af-589b-4db4-ac5b-93d67dc1c548","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.537243Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.515480Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"6998841e-c472-4f52-a3fb-f18384298d0a","year":2021},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":2,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.395925Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:1bb90434d836bd49c962db2ba799c1223c430953a76a6275a4a7f71e45c733d9","observation_id":"9b252e5d-b633-4798-bbb2-72c294c2805b","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.521618Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.496742Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"9d10747d-8164-478a-be04-860503a96f82","year":1969},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":3,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.402308Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:a2c833a00cac5b4aaec596a13d74bb6174c75f93cd4e55e261bed43507c1400a","observation_id":"31ffb384-5041-4a14-8f03-bc2de366e236","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.502339Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.481150Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"f039595c-b630-4bb9-a863-2e43f98ca9d4","year":1970},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":4,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.409882Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:2aee06fd7e830766128b711acc25119e5325bb86347fbca68e2418ebc6c61d36","observation_id":"c591baf9-309e-4b96-86cc-7e0fb059ff57","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.485506Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2402.00202","last_updated":"2025-08-09T17:47:43Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-16T19:23:20.496095Z","submitted_at":"2024-01-31T21:54:34Z","title":"Generalized Universal Inference on Risk Minimizers","version":3},"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":null,"pith_arxiv_id":"2402.00202","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.415892Z","title":", Martin , Ryan R","venue":null,"work_id":null,"year":2024},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":5,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.415892Z"},"links":{"cited_paper":"/paper/2402.00202","citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:e95f55fe59c58366ddcf5ead0b28f3bc3a595e63a5e2d033cc3bc7f4c35b926d","observation_id":"bf2ace5f-9835-489a-b5d9-1aefb1d42442","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.415892Z","resolver_source":null,"status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"reason":"canonical_work_link_unavailable","source_receipts":[],"state":"unavailable"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2412.01008","last_updated":"2024-12-01T23:55:38Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-18T02:35:14.384718Z","submitted_at":"2024-12-01T23:55:38Z","title":"Multiple Testing in Generalized Universal Inference","version":1},"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":"2412.01008","doi":null,"metadata_source":"pith","pith_arxiv_id":"2412.01008","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.812781Z","title":"Multiple Testing in Generalized Universal Inference","venue":"stat.ME","work_id":"598419ec-db6e-4f3f-9620-ef0abea5a22c","year":2024},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":6,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.425590Z"},"links":{"cited_paper":"/paper/2412.01008","citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:fca7a6b10a7be63b31640c7ec3796efbd97c427a7d30e724139a62e662880da3","observation_id":"d7effc5e-64fb-4066-bf09-5ccd9f27312f","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.818256Z","resolver_source":"local_arxiv","status":"verified_exact"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.463850Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"92e3e981-84b8-47e1-96cd-50789b9453d1","year":2015},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":7,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.434317Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:1c0219634e97b73be02a96ac6a6e93d921db99d3680ba8a8530b0ce5d53fdd2d","observation_id":"269a2515-3f70-4223-9b52-9f00fe23a42e","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.470129Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.439064Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"7f71d419-0be8-487e-ad66-5beb50ba05ce","year":1995},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":8,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.440750Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:58b5ee4fbecbcf99e1735bc43310e63004686e67c1d2f56aabcfffd93ffa6ee6","observation_id":"bf89d2f8-9fa4-4b20-ade6-64f4f053f719","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.451188Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.422962Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"3f75ba59-31ee-4ab4-bd98-cba898a29641","year":1953},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":9,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.447513Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:4fc645c90bacf91ecd7cf9ab68ee07acf4b2a382fa78d22e8752d2945752650d","observation_id":"14f5a558-8152-4ef8-85e2-72e235a6fe7d","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.428007Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.403083Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"b0e8c5df-f52a-4268-86da-b89e0c2a269d","year":1953},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":10,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.454720Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:f938946b272e492eb41894d56db4bdf47e32558d5ed39de91e613639151f2d71","observation_id":"8b748882-0752-4325-89f7-ccc335ba359c","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.410929Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.377060Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"7b215258-f74d-4ad5-b919-6cf38c85cd39","year":1967},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":11,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.460275Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:e2d58943d2e5e72d36a374912b616142c7a55f041589e40452d9f9687a84e3a0","observation_id":"387d0c93-5764-406c-ab8e-31f390f1f6ba","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.384676Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.354190Z","title":"Ziegel , Johanna F J","venue":null,"work_id":"ae49ea13-ef3f-472b-aa75-5bfb5e1e9fe2","year":2016},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":12,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.467095Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:53db3670a7daad962cc673702e6cdab5246e80b70447d8cbf700657dcd6128e7","observation_id":"5f576398-a95b-43d7-a235-bafd68beacef","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.359383Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"verified_fuzzy"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2308.05263","last_updated":"2023-08-10T00:16:31Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-16T15:09:31.817901Z","submitted_at":"2023-08-10T00:16:31Z","title":"Solving the Forecast Combination Puzzle","version":1},"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":null,"pith_arxiv_id":"2308.05263","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.473726Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":null,"year":2023},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":13,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.473726Z"},"links":{"cited_paper":"/paper/2308.05263","citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:dd6d22d6ff50630fb994ebd3c3f9c567b9be5875d5a5b10ba78a6bfa6225fc5a","observation_id":"65e266c4-34c4-4364-81ae-d28963cbda65","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.473726Z","resolver_source":null,"status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"reason":"canonical_work_link_unavailable","source_receipts":[],"state":"unavailable"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.334629Z","title":"White , Halbert H","venue":null,"work_id":"99fddcfc-11ec-4287-8f8c-58f23a779cc6","year":2006},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":14,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.481434Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:d8f5a65eb11979e02cb2143e4b1863da3a6700f7303d0a2116b92bc5270cec8f","observation_id":"171344e9-c97a-4aa2-b5de-cfd6ec832b44","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.339624Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"verified_fuzzy"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.318378Z","title":"( 2011 )","venue":null,"work_id":"8cf633ec-c8d7-4f29-838f-e81ad6723b63","year":2011},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":15,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.489714Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:c7b5925ee12f981466120dbf97e069358cd0b8834a5356c5aea25acb059cb564","observation_id":"1169f0d5-cacc-4f8c-ae47-2a223894f7e8","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.323177Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"verified_fuzzy"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.299642Z","title":", Balabdaoui , Fadoua F","venue":null,"work_id":"e3da5579-3c59-492c-8cd6-53e5a5cbdc79","year":2007},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":16,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.494560Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:a5485bf46baeec2c65bb707f573e87e607804f12990d061d5030964e4162311c","observation_id":"9c1a5c2d-744f-4c6f-b706-62969ad77f58","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.304636Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"verified_fuzzy"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.265179Z","title":"Raftery , Adrian E A","venue":null,"work_id":"a4cf7d91-11df-457c-b7a1-4ac9eea13be8","year":2007},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":17,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.499340Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:617cb8275e28783c80b43642cf0df43f41d620ec7adde921eff198644bf2a721","observation_id":"795150ec-31a4-49c3-b736-fa9047cceb99","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.279152Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"verified_fuzzy"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2010.08110","last_updated":"2020-10-01T22:18:50Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-16T19:16:26.873648Z","submitted_at":"2020-10-01T22:18:50Z","title":"Theory of colloidal stabilization by unattached polymers","version":1},"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":null,"pith_arxiv_id":"2010.08110","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.504366Z","title":"Ranjan , Roopesh R","venue":null,"work_id":null,"year":2011},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":18,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.504366Z"},"links":{"cited_paper":"/paper/2010.08110","citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:0f1ec8c22a2b6c846962d850903ff629fcdc973655d3d85660b5a8f3ed66de2f","observation_id":"c40353d6-3d58-4c2a-880f-87a21233adef","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.504366Z","resolver_source":null,"status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"reason":"canonical_work_link_unavailable","source_receipts":[],"state":"unavailable"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.248161Z","title":", de Heide , Rianne R","venue":null,"work_id":"e5181b10-33a1-4451-a73b-46fac0f60191","year":2024},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":19,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.509440Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:6d120fdacfe51db25f73d7f0059a6fc4f73caa8f94c12648c7f9a43063ee5a4c","observation_id":"bf4e092d-ed3e-45ce-a1ac-9b1f58b6de1f","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.252792Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"verified_fuzzy"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.233757Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"e64b4e07-8f79-471a-b4e7-3b510409957f","year":1970},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":20,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.515127Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:7dd15fbf48cbe00b49937515b9a5b0cf35931c9e0ce98015e3ab877af5026d4c","observation_id":"d6dd7ff0-86d0-4fe4-9d5a-5d6075643170","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.238129Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.219592Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"4b68ddcc-9c67-478b-8ac8-06b088a78a43","year":1950},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":21,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.520338Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:93266da30585608dcbeb2ceda96d7c831c144cc3e977cf028dbe576801734678","observation_id":"0f8c4424-c995-46d1-8f09-832fc3f3b85b","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.224005Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.203439Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"2cdb982d-6b88-41cb-8ef8-3b22533ff7b9","year":2005},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":22,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.526140Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:c787f274d09a4a9da04297c5111cf575b042c908b4c092f71e194afef82ebed7","observation_id":"b7fc46d9-4fa2-4c03-90fd-95683a820026","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.208357Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.187006Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"584f87e4-fd43-4830-ae9d-d709fed9cd42","year":2011},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":23,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.531489Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:79bf6972265f2a7a0a0cfe6bed9b3bb7dae887c2f6dcb80e22b9ddb3fd923249","observation_id":"2981f6cc-e81f-4996-895d-13645b24c497","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.192614Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.169166Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"a5402452-d566-4adb-a4af-818fbf065007","year":2011},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":24,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.536939Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:a0c29b6c923dcf1408b719f97a38878f0f196bdc3d1447ac700efe1e0e510a3c","observation_id":"83b211fe-472a-4e40-b90f-40e7566445f3","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.174091Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.153140Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"75618123-0b72-4155-b4f0-4e8991304408","year":2018},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":25,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.542821Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:a72548e1b072f2b6cfe3ecb0b04040518be6f318467c6122c7e7aa87e79fd86d","observation_id":"8def1a21-6d54-42b7-aeee-5ec2bba9896d","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.157535Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.138771Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"4160462b-4515-49a6-a359-225dd3a85781","year":2022},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":26,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.547664Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:5d2e9cf4b24ba3e82f68aaa0b91bc1fb3ffc29c064b6a9d2426fc561597b8895","observation_id":"bafaf8f6-ff9f-44ec-aca1-84f79215baf8","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.143298Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.124111Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"45fcceaf-eef1-45b5-9e46-aa76e315c35c","year":2006},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":27,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.552792Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:170fa5b2080e92fd70419bf17983cf9335c4dd9c5dce8e8deaef26d1b71023dd","observation_id":"7ce9dd30-3e6b-4a59-8a67-e640d601762d","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.128311Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.108561Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"1d58199d-3baa-4f2b-a4dd-ac4b57564a1f","year":2020},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":28,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.559844Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:1ce0273563bc87729b4e4f5ab151b586ead53972272006e915975a2b387f5611","observation_id":"0eb1eaf9-ce71-430a-9252-8cc5b39e54f6","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.113658Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.091889Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"735f4461-532e-40f5-8820-6305ee6ca2d2","year":1987},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":29,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.566110Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:9004efff19bc543e9decf610bc393a6c53c1a416e8c9297e65e2073a85c7b551","observation_id":"27f96053-84c7-4f3e-afc0-2e87d01529a8","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.097167Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.073421Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"a3737c0e-932f-4a07-8c6c-8265ccc75246","year":2010},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":30,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.578006Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:68f6e80c2d6f12553d6c386355e81f9e618e8b74850782b720da2d3e1f36a1fc","observation_id":"cc330529-c0b9-4e89-a51e-9f9538e2639f","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.078740Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.054027Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"0e3196ee-2320-4fe1-9ec7-d0431a1fbce7","year":1966},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":31,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.592910Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:524606d5bf36d502c338ec784abbe7b5583092397935ee626115d8ff581c87eb","observation_id":"96e8013c-33c9-4614-a5bd-7cb7c12ad4de","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.060090Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.036210Z","title":"( 2021 )","venue":null,"work_id":"ece806e3-161d-48bf-af16-fa23c61f5cfe","year":2021},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":32,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.599101Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:f3ab7c1bb60437843cd207be47ca8f540a0a76fc5473169b5c27d585ab7d6dcb","observation_id":"4c97df8b-a218-4a6d-b5a8-ba1b24403f2f","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.040970Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"verified_fuzzy"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.011419Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"7c144308-af5c-478d-a4f4-8a4674b9ab20","year":2000},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":33,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.605199Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:13d8f1e6e407c012efc716e567a6ca69df463a84638c4bf92c9c736a5a5cab0c","observation_id":"7706bd57-6fe7-4e3d-bdad-672018853ce1","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.015603Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.995833Z","title":"Wang , Ruodu R","venue":null,"work_id":"b50bae50-3a54-4e39-b408-d1d9114d065f","year":2021},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":34,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.610459Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:8a2c1a8fb60adf6ce85d116445423f62ba2e76bd625e36829aa9ec7a0ffe408f","observation_id":"20de3b11-9bed-478b-8ae9-30dcfc233200","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:13.000704Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"verified_fuzzy"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.966226Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"60193115-5241-49d5-aa2d-bee929b108eb","year":1947},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":35,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.615937Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:fb3b753df0cb50fb2ba8c55b145303dd646360fa964bf7e5cc08efcc9c6a3eb6","observation_id":"050def87-fa92-4599-83cd-9ed5d8e63c49","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.976178Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.946940Z","title":"Ramdas , Aaditya A","venue":null,"work_id":"72a833ba-bdc8-4d4a-829e-f6c49e8c7482","year":2022},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":36,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.621272Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:71f2d07d4d92e4d5a22bf374a0942d84992b2f0a3d5f4a83d9b83b92a2f28f00","observation_id":"d6dc7aeb-43af-4232-b671-ef88018d3dcc","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.952453Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"verified_fuzzy"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.929934Z","title":", Ramdas , Aaditya A","venue":null,"work_id":"8fa7926d-efcd-459a-93f7-b838dca8496a","year":2020},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":37,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.627035Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:86918b970235345d8c45a47c2090aded1716deee24439a86778fe05359d236a5","observation_id":"6f29a5d3-ee5f-4d35-8fba-c847792d4f73","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.934649Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"verified_fuzzy"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.912132Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"0dd45adf-e6ff-4390-8237-25d147b44cb5","year":1996},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":38,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.632537Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:33f58840fc2dbb1dc62409ef16ca72703da9e534626b19cc9c5a5ad315687ddf","observation_id":"c0352ade-75c7-43ac-8614-3d023f971616","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.918538Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.892682Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"5c941a6e-32c5-4400-8a55-40ac5801baf7","year":1975},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":39,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.638990Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:62856de09922fa62ed040f51183a397ef5531b1d44efd82b58d3262a1592cd8b","observation_id":"213a063a-1ba6-473f-bdc6-d2b0daaac3ae","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.899002Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.872440Z","title":"( 2000 )","venue":null,"work_id":"19311003-2e72-4fcd-b197-3c9015170101","year":2000},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":40,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.646308Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:9f530d26effab006e7fbd5ceeb0c17b058cd75be0d44860f7e9eca0adb17dad2","observation_id":"2669e4b9-695f-46bc-a665-3990be1bee4c","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.878202Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"verified_fuzzy"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":null,"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":null,"doi":null,"metadata_source":"raw_reference","pith_arxiv_id":null,"snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.849981Z","title":null,"venue":null,"work_id":"3e455a37-b753-4016-bd4a-6e10be2456a2","year":2021},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":41,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.654963Z"},"links":{"citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:2b5dbe32c984dc7f5bc13dd5f11f3739936f3426a79f4d0f61c6250ce8f8849f","observation_id":"dc5ce1db-4213-429e-905a-ee3cabeb4a4f","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.855094Z","resolver_source":"raw_fallback","status":"unresolved"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}},{"citation":{"cited_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2006.03238","last_updated":"2022-08-19T10:51:39Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-07-31T17:09:13.058688Z","submitted_at":"2020-06-05T05:24:05Z","title":"Can Two Forecasts Have the Same Conditional Expected Accuracy?","version":2},"cited_work":{"arxiv_id":"2006.03238","doi":null,"metadata_source":"pith","pith_arxiv_id":"2006.03238","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.726855Z","title":"Can Two Forecasts Have the Same Conditional Expected Accuracy?","venue":"stat.ME","work_id":"0b75d97b-d80f-45a3-93e8-416582b5e6ca","year":2020},"citing_paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection","version":1},"reference_index":42,"source":"arxiv_source","source_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.659569Z"},"links":{"cited_paper":"/paper/2006.03238","citing_paper":"/paper/2505.09090"},"observation_digest":"sha256:c070882f1c0ffab9ae79f3b5667cf3813bfcfe79a29e7372c55cb5f5b7b4220e","observation_id":"5a0b7aa2-fcc6-4b53-afee-dc2eeda1fc21","resolution":{"observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:49:12.735138Z","resolver_source":"local_arxiv","status":"verified_exact"},"standing_notice":{"events":[],"observation":"No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.","reason":null,"source_receipts":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"state":"measured"}}],"paper":{"arxiv_id":"2505.09090","last_updated":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","latest_version":1,"primary_category":"math.ST","snapshot_observed_at":"2026-08-15T21:38:04.376254Z","submitted_at":"2025-05-14T02:52:15Z","title":"Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection"},"reference_resolution":{"displayed":42,"state_counts":{"malformed_identifier":0,"metadata_mismatch":0,"parse_uncertain":0,"unresolved":29,"verified_exact":2,"verified_fuzzy":11},"total_outbound_references":42},"refusal":"A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.","schema":"pith.paper-citation-record.v1","standing_sources":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00","source":"crossref"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:30:54.323127+00:00","source":"retraction_watch"}],"thesis":"As of 18 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 42 of 42 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2505.09090."}