REVIEW
Not yet reviewed by Pith; the record is open.
This paper has not been read by Pith yet. Machine review is queued; the pith claim, tier, and objections will appear here once it completes.
SPECIMEN: schema-true, not a live event
T0 review · schema-true
One-sentence machine reading of the paper's core claim.
pith:XXXXXXXX · record.json · timestamp
Predictive Quantile Regression with High-Dimensional Predictors: The Variable Screening Approach
read the original abstract
This paper advances a variable screening approach to enhance conditional quantile forecasts using high-dimensional predictors. We have refined and augmented the quantile partial correlation (QPC)-based variable screening proposed by Ma et al. (2017) to accommodate $\beta$-mixing time-series data. Our approach is inclusive of i.i.d scenarios but introduces new convergence bounds for time-series contexts, suggesting the performance of QPC-based screening is influenced by the degree of time-series dependence. Through Monte Carlo simulations, we validate the effectiveness of QPC under weak dependence. Our empirical assessment of variable selection for growth-at-risk (GaR) forecasting underscores the method's advantages, revealing that specific labor market determinants play a pivotal role in forecasting GaR. While prior empirical research has predominantly considered a limited set of predictors, we employ the comprehensive Fred-QD dataset, retaining a richer breadth of information for GaR forecasts.
discussion (0)
Sign in with ORCID, Apple, or X to comment. Anyone can read and Pith papers without signing in.