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arxiv: cond-mat/0209475 · v1 · submitted 2002-09-19 · ❄️ cond-mat.stat-mech · q-fin.PR

A theory for Fluctuations in Stock Prices and Valuation of their Options

classification ❄️ cond-mat.stat-mech q-fin.PR
keywords optionspricingstocktheoryreturnalternativeassumptionasymmetric
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A new theory for pricing options of a stock is presented. It is based on the assumption that while successive variations in return are uncorrelated, the frequency with which a stock is traded depends on the value of the return. The solution to the Fokker-Planck equation is shown to be an asymmetric exponential distribution, similar to those observed in intra-day currency markets. The "volatility smile," used by traders to correct the Black-Scholes pricing is shown to provide an alternative mechanism to implement the new options pricing formulae derived from our theory.

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