{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2013:3EI7EOH5UGTTDFNUVNBQX75H6Y","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"3e21da3a381ed68ebd4269bbe46d669b641b05481cd8e4675fd547fd92818a66","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2013-02-04T21:57:45Z","title_canon_sha256":"0decd620fec6a031e15a21162617e317b86e9ededab4898f82537dba048defe4"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1302.0883","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1302.0883","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:53:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1302.0883v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:53:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1302.0883","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:53:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"3EI7EOH5UGTT","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:32Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"3EI7EOH5UGTTDFNU","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:32Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"3EI7EOH5","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:32Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:6ce22f30c339cbec8b063e3472a09806c61db07cdf2f1cd3e6c0556000c8507c","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:53:15Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"We propose an extension of the non-homogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR) model by Gneiting et al. (2005) that yields locally calibrated probabilistic forecasts of tem- perature, based on the output of an ensemble prediction system (EPS). Our method represents the mean of the predictive distributions as a sum of short-term averages of local temperatures and EPS-driven terms. For the spatial interpolation of temperature averages and local forecast uncertainty parameters we use a Gaussian random field model with an intrinsically stationary component that captures large scale fluctuations and a lo","authors_text":"Luca B\\\"uermann, Michael Scheuerer","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2013-02-04T21:57:45Z","title":"Spatially adaptive post-processing of ensemble forecasts for temperature"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1302.0883","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:8ef792eb33285a73f8532bfffaa7ca1b1173ffb82e33413b8e887bdcbd349a33","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:53:15Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"3e21da3a381ed68ebd4269bbe46d669b641b05481cd8e4675fd547fd92818a66","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2013-02-04T21:57:45Z","title_canon_sha256":"0decd620fec6a031e15a21162617e317b86e9ededab4898f82537dba048defe4"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1302.0883","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"d911f238fda1a73195b4ab430bffa7f610807e76f3b3bac3d046de6796ac484d","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"d911f238fda1a73195b4ab430bffa7f610807e76f3b3bac3d046de6796ac484d","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T02:53:15.415066Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T02:53:15.415066Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"fVxr3T3t8amAyM3NTvf2fK4p3JxOBIk3jNLXZvdaOJHivH9oZ7PdUyMtf8qW5pR3HDEoqeXrZUx6jvGDGj/nDA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T02:53:15.415643Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1302.0883","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:8ef792eb33285a73f8532bfffaa7ca1b1173ffb82e33413b8e887bdcbd349a33","sha256:6ce22f30c339cbec8b063e3472a09806c61db07cdf2f1cd3e6c0556000c8507c"],"state_sha256":"8bfea4e9bfafc944428217ee38e32d249ed7b0b0365f1f052a1c1a52199f068f"}