{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2011:42SSXQEVTVDBGOZUUIHF4KSIN4","short_pith_number":"pith:42SSXQEV","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1112.3620","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.data-an","submitted_at":"2011-12-15T19:35:01Z","cross_cats_sorted":["hep-ph","math.HO","physics.pop-ph","physics.soc-ph"],"title_canon_sha256":"90b1270816949414b1b634d8e843a1d4a4f75dcd8c4f753f208a8fd274f91c34","abstract_canon_sha256":"d5a687a4ef5b5d941b6736879c9f34dbe66c4ad7d9400bfe4d20def7afa25c88"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"e6a52bc0959d46133b34a20e5e2a486f10300493934ebac9dc9ebf34cebe10d3","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"1112.3620","version":2},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1112.3620","created_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1112.3620v2","created_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1112.3620","created_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"42SSXQEVTVDB","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:20Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"42SSXQEVTVDBGOZU","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:20Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"42SSXQEV","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:20Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2011:42SSXQEVTVDBGOZUUIHF4KSIN4","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1112.3620","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.data-an","submitted_at":"2011-12-15T19:35:01Z","cross_cats_sorted":["hep-ph","math.HO","physics.pop-ph","physics.soc-ph"],"title_canon_sha256":"90b1270816949414b1b634d8e843a1d4a4f75dcd8c4f753f208a8fd274f91c34","abstract_canon_sha256":"d5a687a4ef5b5d941b6736879c9f34dbe66c4ad7d9400bfe4d20def7afa25c88"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"e6a52bc0959d46133b34a20e5e2a486f10300493934ebac9dc9ebf34cebe10d3","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07.351340Z","signature_b64":"Q0eA2A5eLmQQ4smYyfpkxf5XcecaG9RRXAvzo8PowHZHafPHHX09clvCbD77vUv9lbJuaWSnYsHZzsvUv2VVDA==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"e6a52bc0959d46133b34a20e5e2a486f10300493934ebac9dc9ebf34cebe10d3","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07.350706Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07.350706Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"1112.3620","source_version":2,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"T1U/UkFfngSgiaZbTJnlO7TcQiz6X6dGDPCGv9uvZz1vKyAVnNH73xudtBiGEr1BU6NKz31MNYsm9wANdva9DQ==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-01T17:50:21.498714Z"},"content_sha256":"0e7c923748cee4b5ca44f6e954e4a35c353fb94dfad6360ddb121cad59d08610","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:0e7c923748cee4b5ca44f6e954e4a35c353fb94dfad6360ddb121cad59d08610"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2011:42SSXQEVTVDBGOZUUIHF4KSIN4","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Probably a discovery: Bad mathematics means rough scientific communication","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["hep-ph","math.HO","physics.pop-ph","physics.soc-ph"],"primary_cat":"physics.data-an","authors_text":"G. D'Agostini","submitted_at":"2011-12-15T19:35:01Z","abstract_excerpt":"According to the media, in spring of this year the experiment CDF at Fermilab has made most likely (\"this result has a 99.7 percent chance of being correct\", Discovery News) a great discovery (\"the most significant in physics in half a century\", NYT). However, since the very beginning, practically all particle physics experts did not believe that was the case. This is the last of a quite long series of fake claims based on trivial mistakes in the probabilistic reasoning. The main purpose of this note is to invite everybody, but especially journalists and general public, most times innocent vic"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1112.3620","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"DEMRiYJ4G0eZGpbx4j1d7mKivvHgZcvo6nMDKLVcTTcVL2rzxOdA89YO4B7fMr7venVxVuP8FDF7CPgVjMTPBw==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-01T17:50:21.499068Z"},"content_sha256":"dc68067a8b3921c06520467b8e31b69395a178fe52d2a1d88fa6d827910fbd81","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:dc68067a8b3921c06520467b8e31b69395a178fe52d2a1d88fa6d827910fbd81"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/42SSXQEVTVDBGOZUUIHF4KSIN4/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/42SSXQEVTVDBGOZUUIHF4KSIN4/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/42SSXQEVTVDBGOZUUIHF4KSIN4/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-06-01T17:50:21Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/42SSXQEVTVDBGOZUUIHF4KSIN4","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/42SSXQEVTVDBGOZUUIHF4KSIN4/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/42SSXQEVTVDBGOZUUIHF4KSIN4/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/42SSXQEVTVDBGOZUUIHF4KSIN4/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2011:42SSXQEVTVDBGOZUUIHF4KSIN4","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"d5a687a4ef5b5d941b6736879c9f34dbe66c4ad7d9400bfe4d20def7afa25c88","cross_cats_sorted":["hep-ph","math.HO","physics.pop-ph","physics.soc-ph"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.data-an","submitted_at":"2011-12-15T19:35:01Z","title_canon_sha256":"90b1270816949414b1b634d8e843a1d4a4f75dcd8c4f753f208a8fd274f91c34"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1112.3620","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1112.3620","created_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1112.3620v2","created_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1112.3620","created_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"42SSXQEVTVDB","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:20Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"42SSXQEVTVDBGOZU","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:20Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"42SSXQEV","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:20Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:dc68067a8b3921c06520467b8e31b69395a178fe52d2a1d88fa6d827910fbd81","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"According to the media, in spring of this year the experiment CDF at Fermilab has made most likely (\"this result has a 99.7 percent chance of being correct\", Discovery News) a great discovery (\"the most significant in physics in half a century\", NYT). However, since the very beginning, practically all particle physics experts did not believe that was the case. This is the last of a quite long series of fake claims based on trivial mistakes in the probabilistic reasoning. The main purpose of this note is to invite everybody, but especially journalists and general public, most times innocent vic","authors_text":"G. D'Agostini","cross_cats":["hep-ph","math.HO","physics.pop-ph","physics.soc-ph"],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.data-an","submitted_at":"2011-12-15T19:35:01Z","title":"Probably a discovery: Bad mathematics means rough scientific communication"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1112.3620","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:0e7c923748cee4b5ca44f6e954e4a35c353fb94dfad6360ddb121cad59d08610","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"d5a687a4ef5b5d941b6736879c9f34dbe66c4ad7d9400bfe4d20def7afa25c88","cross_cats_sorted":["hep-ph","math.HO","physics.pop-ph","physics.soc-ph"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.data-an","submitted_at":"2011-12-15T19:35:01Z","title_canon_sha256":"90b1270816949414b1b634d8e843a1d4a4f75dcd8c4f753f208a8fd274f91c34"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1112.3620","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"canonical_sha256":"e6a52bc0959d46133b34a20e5e2a486f10300493934ebac9dc9ebf34cebe10d3","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"e6a52bc0959d46133b34a20e5e2a486f10300493934ebac9dc9ebf34cebe10d3","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07.350706Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07.350706Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"Q0eA2A5eLmQQ4smYyfpkxf5XcecaG9RRXAvzo8PowHZHafPHHX09clvCbD77vUv9lbJuaWSnYsHZzsvUv2VVDA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T04:06:07.351340Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1112.3620","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":2}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:0e7c923748cee4b5ca44f6e954e4a35c353fb94dfad6360ddb121cad59d08610","sha256:dc68067a8b3921c06520467b8e31b69395a178fe52d2a1d88fa6d827910fbd81"],"state_sha256":"88946c806f780827ce50bd672f7575583f706b32b066df7fa5c9bdb32c2966ca"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"qiWVcOjYK57ddkwDkBpbNtOHd4xKh3vwX8rJnlXT3ouBCwldqxTN6/gHQ8KW815z026JIDR6DadpLO7RhabzBw==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-01T17:50:21.500974Z","bundle_sha256":"7344dd06908c85503b01a98af69d673a399f8b80b7ce9f9bdaa3f8c3bc418345"}}