{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2014:5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV5BOGSDLRWM","short_pith_number":"pith:5FJ37FOY","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1401.0778","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SI","submitted_at":"2014-01-04T05:53:18Z","cross_cats_sorted":["physics.soc-ph"],"title_canon_sha256":"486d8715fa043681675bdd379654332565d514b0bec58e805da1875be25eed2e","abstract_canon_sha256":"4ef7cd8c06050e2871b85fbf1fe96cc1026a4d14c03930ed098a7df8e055e138"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"e953bf95d88476b66cb5e85c690d71b33e4aa8c333a2098fd26c0fcace2cf852","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"1401.0778","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1401.0778","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1401.0778v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1401.0778","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"5FJ37FOYQR3L","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:28:14Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:28:14Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"5FJ37FOY","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:28:14Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2014:5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV5BOGSDLRWM","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1401.0778","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SI","submitted_at":"2014-01-04T05:53:18Z","cross_cats_sorted":["physics.soc-ph"],"title_canon_sha256":"486d8715fa043681675bdd379654332565d514b0bec58e805da1875be25eed2e","abstract_canon_sha256":"4ef7cd8c06050e2871b85fbf1fe96cc1026a4d14c03930ed098a7df8e055e138"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"e953bf95d88476b66cb5e85c690d71b33e4aa8c333a2098fd26c0fcace2cf852","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12.018845Z","signature_b64":"o9XCKz1h8Brr8l7PkCxZH8sXClI6tx/3iYzMGNqkUHVWFR8NPERXF++8RKuUjRHzT3un4/pF5PF7Xd93OWMaDQ==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"e953bf95d88476b66cb5e85c690d71b33e4aa8c333a2098fd26c0fcace2cf852","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12.017391Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12.017391Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"1401.0778","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"8gVXx34DP+DEQsVts/v0GSyCm2u6YZAg5WovfasdMeuw9moJGmmjRNrdxorB8HP1VFKvqtpKjKdukXIcdhEXBQ==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-06T15:59:17.948155Z"},"content_sha256":"6420169eb047c54b74d0b260a2432f9da8de1d6b01712353c9bf90dd909e3f3d","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:6420169eb047c54b74d0b260a2432f9da8de1d6b01712353c9bf90dd909e3f3d"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2014:5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV5BOGSDLRWM","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Modeling and Predicting Popularity Dynamics via Reinforced Poisson Processes","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["physics.soc-ph"],"primary_cat":"cs.SI","authors_text":"Albert-L\\'aszl\\'o Barab\\'asi, Chaoming Song, Dashun Wang, Hua-Wei Shen","submitted_at":"2014-01-04T05:53:18Z","abstract_excerpt":"An ability to predict the popularity dynamics of individual items within a complex evolving system has important implications in an array of areas. Here we propose a generative probabilistic framework using a reinforced Poisson process to model explicitly the process through which individual items gain their popularity. This model distinguishes itself from existing models via its capability of modeling the arrival process of popularity and its remarkable power at predicting the popularity of individual items. It possesses the flexibility of applying Bayesian treatment to further improve the pr"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1401.0778","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"mu5G72gbFqKtZG8Q05PQdwB4+ilHD6mXR3I64nEpeYwWsjBSuF06TLWY9gDGqOq9nKvqeDX3TKZ0tHmQC06SDg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-06T15:59:17.948805Z"},"content_sha256":"f351532869d8baa31a4ef90cff88f350cb674de0e22a76cdaf87acacb16f7cea","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:f351532869d8baa31a4ef90cff88f350cb674de0e22a76cdaf87acacb16f7cea"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV5BOGSDLRWM/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV5BOGSDLRWM/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV5BOGSDLRWM/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-06-06T15:59:17Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV5BOGSDLRWM","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV5BOGSDLRWM/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV5BOGSDLRWM/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV5BOGSDLRWM/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2014:5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV5BOGSDLRWM","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"4ef7cd8c06050e2871b85fbf1fe96cc1026a4d14c03930ed098a7df8e055e138","cross_cats_sorted":["physics.soc-ph"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SI","submitted_at":"2014-01-04T05:53:18Z","title_canon_sha256":"486d8715fa043681675bdd379654332565d514b0bec58e805da1875be25eed2e"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1401.0778","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1401.0778","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1401.0778v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1401.0778","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"5FJ37FOYQR3L","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:28:14Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"5FJ37FOYQR3LM3FV","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:28:14Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"5FJ37FOY","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:28:14Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:f351532869d8baa31a4ef90cff88f350cb674de0e22a76cdaf87acacb16f7cea","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"An ability to predict the popularity dynamics of individual items within a complex evolving system has important implications in an array of areas. Here we propose a generative probabilistic framework using a reinforced Poisson process to model explicitly the process through which individual items gain their popularity. This model distinguishes itself from existing models via its capability of modeling the arrival process of popularity and its remarkable power at predicting the popularity of individual items. It possesses the flexibility of applying Bayesian treatment to further improve the pr","authors_text":"Albert-L\\'aszl\\'o Barab\\'asi, Chaoming Song, Dashun Wang, Hua-Wei Shen","cross_cats":["physics.soc-ph"],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SI","submitted_at":"2014-01-04T05:53:18Z","title":"Modeling and Predicting Popularity Dynamics via Reinforced Poisson Processes"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1401.0778","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:6420169eb047c54b74d0b260a2432f9da8de1d6b01712353c9bf90dd909e3f3d","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"4ef7cd8c06050e2871b85fbf1fe96cc1026a4d14c03930ed098a7df8e055e138","cross_cats_sorted":["physics.soc-ph"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SI","submitted_at":"2014-01-04T05:53:18Z","title_canon_sha256":"486d8715fa043681675bdd379654332565d514b0bec58e805da1875be25eed2e"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1401.0778","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"e953bf95d88476b66cb5e85c690d71b33e4aa8c333a2098fd26c0fcace2cf852","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"e953bf95d88476b66cb5e85c690d71b33e4aa8c333a2098fd26c0fcace2cf852","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12.017391Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12.017391Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"o9XCKz1h8Brr8l7PkCxZH8sXClI6tx/3iYzMGNqkUHVWFR8NPERXF++8RKuUjRHzT3un4/pF5PF7Xd93OWMaDQ==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T03:03:12.018845Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1401.0778","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:6420169eb047c54b74d0b260a2432f9da8de1d6b01712353c9bf90dd909e3f3d","sha256:f351532869d8baa31a4ef90cff88f350cb674de0e22a76cdaf87acacb16f7cea"],"state_sha256":"4445b7d9f385399f57077b0e78d23b0273a68e2395df1bf32c2ffe74632ad3fe"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"SktWFKIbsdI/hZxZm3+Yo5lM/e1LgS0Oz7LKOPO5qoMR3vmy3wJ1VDKoIl6fXateTiMMjpBm/FpnwN0X1ljlDQ==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-06T15:59:17.951908Z","bundle_sha256":"3df25ebb4e0d6ac25decf726cb62086eb924e5a5f2d19dedc19ebd1144a34a64"}}