{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2016:634U2NLBCB2VBCSHRKNLRC7HAA","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"703162c953d55281f983b8cce0e8e710c9d0bcc3e8cd7afdf34bee8f2b53cc76","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.CE"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"q-fin.ST","submitted_at":"2016-07-03T06:17:36Z","title_canon_sha256":"346d096df6758a1597ebdea38fb11521513101f6a10e2af7ca4897acfc75390e"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1607.02093","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1607.02093","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:11:22Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1607.02093v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:11:22Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1607.02093","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:11:22Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"634U2NLBCB2V","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:01Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"634U2NLBCB2VBCSH","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:01Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"634U2NLB","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:01Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:4da4b154762d543db80884ec4c7219efa4ee2111ce3ca0ec4c13acbb1c20842a","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:11:22Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Any discussion on exchange rate movements and forecasting should include explanatory variables from both the current account and the capital account of the balance of payments. In this paper, we include such factors to forecast the value of the Indian rupee vis a vis the US Dollar. Further, factors reflecting political instability and lack of mechanism for enforcement of contracts that can affect both direct foreign investment and also portfolio investment, have been incorporated. The explanatory variables chosen are the 3 month Rupee Dollar futures exchange rate (FX4), NIFTY returns (NIFTYR),","authors_text":"Indranil Ghosh, Tamal Datta Chaudhuri","cross_cats":["cs.CE"],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"q-fin.ST","submitted_at":"2016-07-03T06:17:36Z","title":"Artificial Neural Network and Time Series Modeling Based Approach to Forecasting the Exchange Rate in a Multivariate Framework"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1607.02093","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:2eecbbb61b522700b98e7bb64cad262d3a734f4effffebc9f3947484f6693b18","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:11:22Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"703162c953d55281f983b8cce0e8e710c9d0bcc3e8cd7afdf34bee8f2b53cc76","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.CE"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"q-fin.ST","submitted_at":"2016-07-03T06:17:36Z","title_canon_sha256":"346d096df6758a1597ebdea38fb11521513101f6a10e2af7ca4897acfc75390e"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1607.02093","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"f6f94d35611075508a478a9ab88be700180ae637fd2c55bf188fcdbc0429942a","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"f6f94d35611075508a478a9ab88be700180ae637fd2c55bf188fcdbc0429942a","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T01:11:22.164145Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T01:11:22.164145Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"UJifK5Rw7OESQUIg1RIespag1lUNDmGGsMNa9CKmTdI0hmAdB2iwepapMUwPj4waH6RAQAyHHStwjLf8E7RqAw==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T01:11:22.164682Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1607.02093","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:2eecbbb61b522700b98e7bb64cad262d3a734f4effffebc9f3947484f6693b18","sha256:4da4b154762d543db80884ec4c7219efa4ee2111ce3ca0ec4c13acbb1c20842a"],"state_sha256":"4947ffa9f74fbdf88cb7a063a5240e4e5859aade80906b72bd8ed95dd17e9f95"}