{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2022:6AM6GNREVCOER42KWCM4N5WERK","short_pith_number":"pith:6AM6GNRE","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2206.11745","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2022-06-23T14:44:30Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"5560e8442d92c73fcbaeffecd20235dd80ac30247aa1ef27835ef58d82c29f94","abstract_canon_sha256":"4790463d0233eb62998678eea7693b0ec567c91384671ac3f015bb0df69c4e82"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"f019e33624a89c48f34ab099c6f6c48a8c84a4b1ceafe4dd8379844405aade5e","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"2206.11745","version":2},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2206.11745","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2206.11745v2","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2206.11745","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"6AM6GNREVCOE","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"6AM6GNREVCOER42K","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"6AM6GNRE","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2022:6AM6GNREVCOER42KWCM4N5WERK","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2206.11745","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2022-06-23T14:44:30Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"5560e8442d92c73fcbaeffecd20235dd80ac30247aa1ef27835ef58d82c29f94","abstract_canon_sha256":"4790463d0233eb62998678eea7693b0ec567c91384671ac3f015bb0df69c4e82"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"f019e33624a89c48f34ab099c6f6c48a8c84a4b1ceafe4dd8379844405aade5e","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15.209507Z","signature_b64":"48EeReXtMM24rbVKe71xNr5OyDBhmk1QLjIxZvDxUXSsmFki8/tWfdfXlecp30vR0fFR/Qb5NfeJCDBTzHA4Ag==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"f019e33624a89c48f34ab099c6f6c48a8c84a4b1ceafe4dd8379844405aade5e","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15.209059Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15.209059Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"2206.11745","source_version":2,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"/d3mwEdY1Qfd5vPqTlcHjmata3OFfAzM4MlFFVm1TNJzv4+369MoTydsIgiG+WNgzpoVEAdUuLExuWIXdRA5Aw==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-04T12:42:14.062643Z"},"content_sha256":"229e1520603ab25fb14b58619d4fdf20af175117ede59a1b5b14bf17885948f1","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:229e1520603ab25fb14b58619d4fdf20af175117ede59a1b5b14bf17885948f1"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2022:6AM6GNREVCOER42KWCM4N5WERK","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Probabilistic load forecasting for the low voltage network: forecast fusion and daily peaks","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"stat.AP","authors_text":"Bruce Stephen, Ciaran Gilbert, Jethro Browell","submitted_at":"2022-06-23T14:44:30Z","abstract_excerpt":"Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of customers, which may be dominated by individual behaviours rather than the smooth profiles associated with aggregate consumption. Furthermore, distribution networks are challenged almost entirely by peak loads, and tasks such as scheduling storage and/or demand flexibility maybe be driven by predicted peak demand, a feature that is often poorly characterised by ge"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2206.11745","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2206.11745/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"qgEcpEDPcipzv4u0/cSq+T+m0o8DzhvALksiLRIppd53TiEMaDBBK69FNz5dnB1dibX/PBe4czaPBEPd/kscCw==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-04T12:42:14.063182Z"},"content_sha256":"149cb0da02995c40e1310b02ce25a64a9aa4751f5e2587eccc589d445841afa5","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:149cb0da02995c40e1310b02ce25a64a9aa4751f5e2587eccc589d445841afa5"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/6AM6GNREVCOER42KWCM4N5WERK/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/6AM6GNREVCOER42KWCM4N5WERK/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/6AM6GNREVCOER42KWCM4N5WERK/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-08-04T12:42:14Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/6AM6GNREVCOER42KWCM4N5WERK","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/6AM6GNREVCOER42KWCM4N5WERK/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/6AM6GNREVCOER42KWCM4N5WERK/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/6AM6GNREVCOER42KWCM4N5WERK/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2022:6AM6GNREVCOER42KWCM4N5WERK","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"4790463d0233eb62998678eea7693b0ec567c91384671ac3f015bb0df69c4e82","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2022-06-23T14:44:30Z","title_canon_sha256":"5560e8442d92c73fcbaeffecd20235dd80ac30247aa1ef27835ef58d82c29f94"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2206.11745","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2206.11745","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2206.11745v2","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2206.11745","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"6AM6GNREVCOE","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"6AM6GNREVCOER42K","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"6AM6GNRE","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:149cb0da02995c40e1310b02ce25a64a9aa4751f5e2587eccc589d445841afa5","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2206.11745/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of customers, which may be dominated by individual behaviours rather than the smooth profiles associated with aggregate consumption. Furthermore, distribution networks are challenged almost entirely by peak loads, and tasks such as scheduling storage and/or demand flexibility maybe be driven by predicted peak demand, a feature that is often poorly characterised by ge","authors_text":"Bruce Stephen, Ciaran Gilbert, Jethro Browell","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2022-06-23T14:44:30Z","title":"Probabilistic load forecasting for the low voltage network: forecast fusion and daily peaks"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2206.11745","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:229e1520603ab25fb14b58619d4fdf20af175117ede59a1b5b14bf17885948f1","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"4790463d0233eb62998678eea7693b0ec567c91384671ac3f015bb0df69c4e82","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2022-06-23T14:44:30Z","title_canon_sha256":"5560e8442d92c73fcbaeffecd20235dd80ac30247aa1ef27835ef58d82c29f94"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2206.11745","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"canonical_sha256":"f019e33624a89c48f34ab099c6f6c48a8c84a4b1ceafe4dd8379844405aade5e","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"f019e33624a89c48f34ab099c6f6c48a8c84a4b1ceafe4dd8379844405aade5e","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15.209059Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15.209059Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"48EeReXtMM24rbVKe71xNr5OyDBhmk1QLjIxZvDxUXSsmFki8/tWfdfXlecp30vR0fFR/Qb5NfeJCDBTzHA4Ag==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-05T05:31:15.209507Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2206.11745","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":2}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:229e1520603ab25fb14b58619d4fdf20af175117ede59a1b5b14bf17885948f1","sha256:149cb0da02995c40e1310b02ce25a64a9aa4751f5e2587eccc589d445841afa5"],"state_sha256":"529ae02b72439fa273a3e1eabbe181ca57c847d86806ffc4f1fe0f01d11eb366"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"lD7+ql/GRJDVnIkbmIm5tPPshwn7Muyk2WBaY7uzxHhEmLyp/OdsZ3vVQs1CB8WxifnSZ7mUR6gT9QJrMkPpCg==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-04T12:42:14.067113Z","bundle_sha256":"998cd99eb4ae6ea5fd87ab15c60a51cd65760bd2a35af2caeefe0338f22c6d07"}}