{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2017:6LPG6BEGQXVEMYUPDVQGTCB47G","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"f86bf5762601b03191334f1b8c4a330f31f5f78099af6f68941dcb7373eed1bb","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2017-04-27T08:45:50Z","title_canon_sha256":"af9a5276fa084ad00704d9683e78823e4245330a485d9be3c98d2b5b72affe7c"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1704.08479","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1704.08479","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:45:27Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1704.08479v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:45:27Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1704.08479","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:45:27Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"6LPG6BEGQXVE","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:31:03Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"6LPG6BEGQXVEMYUP","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:31:03Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"6LPG6BEG","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:31:03Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:2545e27213341fa1afd87149e82d85cc608712ad98323d3b1df407d84462fba3","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:45:27Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"The paper presents a critical introduction to the complex statistical models used in ${}^{14}$C dating. The emphasis is on the estimation of the transit time between a sequence of archeological layers. Although a frequentist estimation of the parameters is relatively simple, confidence intervals constructions are not standard as the models are not regular. I argue that that the Bayesian paradigm is a natural approach to these models. It is simple, and gives immediate solutions to credible sets, with natural interpretation and simple construction. Indeed it is the standard tool of ${}^{14}$C an","authors_text":"Ya'acov Ritov","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2017-04-27T08:45:50Z","title":"The utility of a Bayesian analysis of complex models and the study of archeological ${}^{14}$C data"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1704.08479","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:1967d90e73b3c6ef18bcc712e68af59a6cead6c3de23ce0fefd1480d77901eee","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:45:27Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"f86bf5762601b03191334f1b8c4a330f31f5f78099af6f68941dcb7373eed1bb","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2017-04-27T08:45:50Z","title_canon_sha256":"af9a5276fa084ad00704d9683e78823e4245330a485d9be3c98d2b5b72affe7c"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1704.08479","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"f2de6f048685ea46628f1d6069883cf9a5c9857ebf288b4f071dc6c3e5a1de97","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"f2de6f048685ea46628f1d6069883cf9a5c9857ebf288b4f071dc6c3e5a1de97","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T00:45:27.581403Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T00:45:27.581403Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"7OzI7XF2D+Xuo00W15a7kAxprFTEiMJMFik0bT2gya5f8ty/0S8czK3vPZ6q3lo/Uwfne1AsgYYMMWYtmOpQBw==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T00:45:27.581950Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1704.08479","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:1967d90e73b3c6ef18bcc712e68af59a6cead6c3de23ce0fefd1480d77901eee","sha256:2545e27213341fa1afd87149e82d85cc608712ad98323d3b1df407d84462fba3"],"state_sha256":"185ca2eae80e5506c7ab8cbe5ccb66eb3840c73696bdf11264a95e279c825063"}