{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2015:ABDC43LKTCESYV6XUHT6CVKM4M","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"a82069f3a404c1115e2a998f17a2c22f8c743a943441f07450cd102c6f8c670f","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2015-11-16T03:40:48Z","title_canon_sha256":"8007603f4c9beed040e60de3a9e2beb5d59679457d48086c8be4cd3836c20abb"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1511.04812","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1511.04812","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:26:51Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1511.04812v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:26:51Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1511.04812","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:26:51Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"ABDC43LKTCES","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:29:10Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"ABDC43LKTCESYV6X","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:29:10Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"ABDC43LK","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:29:10Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:1630a62d96f824eed371f468bd1a354c4cacf19a02dd833d200c6bf86d3491dc","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:26:51Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Epidemics of communicable diseases place a huge burden on public health infrastructures across the world. Producing accurate and actionable forecasts of infectious disease incidence at short and long time scales will improve public health response to outbreaks. However, scientists and public health officials face many obstacles in trying to create accurate and actionable real-time forecasts of infectious disease incidence. Dengue is a mosquito-borne virus that annually infects over 400 million people worldwide. We developed a real-time forecasting model for dengue hemorrhagic fever in the 77 p","authors_text":"Derek A. T. Cummings, Hannah E. Clapham, Henrik Salje, Justin Lessler, Krzysztof Sakrejda, Nicholas G. Reich, Paphanij Suangtho, Soawapak Hinjoy, Sopon Iamsirithaworn, Stephen A. Lauer, Suthanun Suthachana","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2015-11-16T03:40:48Z","title":"Infrastructure and methods for real-time predictions of the 2014 dengue fever season in Thailand"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1511.04812","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:3b883ec6a84cae078739844fe26c9ea438dadc875e9048c5b919ffb6b3ba9559","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:26:51Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"a82069f3a404c1115e2a998f17a2c22f8c743a943441f07450cd102c6f8c670f","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2015-11-16T03:40:48Z","title_canon_sha256":"8007603f4c9beed040e60de3a9e2beb5d59679457d48086c8be4cd3836c20abb"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1511.04812","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"00462e6d6a98892c57d7a1e7e1554ce3190d7758a0f3276c24d3c5db73a3655e","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"00462e6d6a98892c57d7a1e7e1554ce3190d7758a0f3276c24d3c5db73a3655e","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T01:26:51.561576Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T01:26:51.561576Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"W/jUp7RyCQJGTXDYVTMabS/3s5tgjlRXW3HQuuvaHNQCdIq34Z01NjoxhSygrIakegQmdwUdh5X9L7a/P8bADQ==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T01:26:51.562295Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1511.04812","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:3b883ec6a84cae078739844fe26c9ea438dadc875e9048c5b919ffb6b3ba9559","sha256:1630a62d96f824eed371f468bd1a354c4cacf19a02dd833d200c6bf86d3491dc"],"state_sha256":"ee57f103c2a09e9caced8c83b6e4828037ac1c3180276afa5a4538566b8a5786"}