{"record_type":"pith_number_record","schema_url":"https://pith.science/schemas/pith-number/v1.json","pith_number":"pith:2009:AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD","short_pith_number":"pith:AD5J4NZC","schema_version":"1.0","canonical_sha256":"00fa9e3722934cac33859bf89d730c90d0b8292943a7cc0ae1dc0c2382eaf919","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"0907.2312","version":1},"attestation_state":"computed","paper":{"title":"Predictive Analysis for Social Processes I: Multi-Scale Hybrid System Modeling","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["physics.soc-ph"],"primary_cat":"nlin.AO","authors_text":"Kristin Glass, Richard Colbaugh","submitted_at":"2009-07-14T09:25:19Z","abstract_excerpt":"This two-part paper presents a new approach to predictive analysis for social processes. In Part I, we begin by identifying a class of social processes which are simultaneously important in applications and difficult to predict using existing methods. It is shown that these processes can be modeled within a multi-scale, stochastic hybrid system framework that is sociologically sensible, expressive, illuminating, and amenable to formal analysis. Among other advantages, the proposed modeling framework enables proper characterization of the interplay between the intrinsic aspects of a social proc"},"verification_status":{"content_addressed":true,"pith_receipt":true,"author_attested":false,"weak_author_claims":0,"strong_author_claims":0,"externally_anchored":false,"storage_verified":false,"citation_signatures":0,"replication_records":0,"graph_snapshot":true,"references_resolved":false,"formal_links_present":false},"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"0907.2312","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"nlin.AO","submitted_at":"2009-07-14T09:25:19Z","cross_cats_sorted":["physics.soc-ph"],"title_canon_sha256":"3ee40e791f1ae8bf6704a82e5049ac256a91aafff1fe18d94f565d0564eac028","abstract_canon_sha256":"010511c86ea25b6d93a083ca377b2fb9464e68ba5834427c18d0c4d7f713e8b1"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-05-18T00:58:20.053675Z","signature_b64":"U3M5J5zxc1GpHsqtlwnJMqUMTM86/B3QKnjuT61OJpjdiC4qQFivJjc0NWcj3k3Ci5L/8kU0dZStsM5oAmZjBQ==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"00fa9e3722934cac33859bf89d730c90d0b8292943a7cc0ae1dc0c2382eaf919","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T00:58:20.052975Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T00:58:20.052975Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Predictive Analysis for Social Processes I: Multi-Scale Hybrid System Modeling","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["physics.soc-ph"],"primary_cat":"nlin.AO","authors_text":"Kristin Glass, Richard Colbaugh","submitted_at":"2009-07-14T09:25:19Z","abstract_excerpt":"This two-part paper presents a new approach to predictive analysis for social processes. In Part I, we begin by identifying a class of social processes which are simultaneously important in applications and difficult to predict using existing methods. It is shown that these processes can be modeled within a multi-scale, stochastic hybrid system framework that is sociologically sensible, expressive, illuminating, and amenable to formal analysis. Among other advantages, the proposed modeling framework enables proper characterization of the interplay between the intrinsic aspects of a social proc"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"0907.2312","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"0907.2312","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:58:20.053077+00:00"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"0907.2312v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:58:20.053077+00:00"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.0907.2312","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:58:20.053077+00:00"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"AD5J4NZCSNGK","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:25:58.837520+00:00"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4F","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:25:58.837520+00:00"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"AD5J4NZC","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:25:58.837520+00:00"}],"events":[],"event_summary":{},"paper_claims":[],"inbound_citations":{"count":0,"internal_anchor_count":0,"sample":[]},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"sample":[],"anchors":[]},"links":{"html":"https://pith.science/pith/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD","json":"https://pith.science/pith/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD.json","graph_json":"https://pith.science/api/pith-number/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD/graph.json","events_json":"https://pith.science/api/pith-number/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD/events.json","paper":"https://pith.science/paper/AD5J4NZC"},"agent_actions":{"view_html":"https://pith.science/pith/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD","download_json":"https://pith.science/pith/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD.json","view_paper":"https://pith.science/paper/AD5J4NZC","resolve_alias":"https://pith.science/api/pith-number/resolve?arxiv=0907.2312&json=true","fetch_graph":"https://pith.science/api/pith-number/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD/graph.json","fetch_events":"https://pith.science/api/pith-number/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD/events.json","actions":{"anchor_timestamp":"https://pith.science/pith/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD/action/timestamp_anchor","attest_storage":"https://pith.science/pith/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD/action/storage_attestation","attest_author":"https://pith.science/pith/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD/action/author_attestation","sign_citation":"https://pith.science/pith/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD/action/citation_signature","submit_replication":"https://pith.science/pith/AD5J4NZCSNGKYM4FTP4J24YMSD/action/replication_record"}},"created_at":"2026-05-18T00:58:20.053077+00:00","updated_at":"2026-05-18T00:58:20.053077+00:00"}