{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2016:AEUQ3LUOPWTRQGYLECNUGCO5F5","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"e785604a84c412bdccdee0aff819978a39a000127ea2398f2918877f2434e401","cross_cats_sorted":["q-fin.MF"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"q-fin.TR","submitted_at":"2016-01-07T15:02:00Z","title_canon_sha256":"17f18de934109e0d316b714b084e5f561541119df5affbfedab7ad462a0d1ce9"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1601.01553","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1601.01553","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:12:49Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1601.01553v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:12:49Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1601.01553","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:12:49Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"AEUQ3LUOPWTR","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"AEUQ3LUOPWTRQGYL","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"AEUQ3LUO","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:07Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:b752e6dfd8c1e0f894ed9656cd11afa2ffaea6368253dba50718d6647de3991c","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:12:49Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Following a Geometrical Brownian Motion extension into an Irrational Fractional Brownian Motion model, we re-examine agent behaviour reacting to time dependent news on the log-returns thereby modifying a financial market evolution. We specifically discuss the role of financial news or economic information positive or negative feedback of such irrational (or contrarian) agents upon the price evolution. We observe a kink-like effect reminiscent of soliton behaviour, suggesting how analysts' forecasts errors induce stock prices to adjust accordingly, thereby proposing a measure of the irrational ","authors_text":"Gurjeet Dhesi, Marcel Ausloos","cross_cats":["q-fin.MF"],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"q-fin.TR","submitted_at":"2016-01-07T15:02:00Z","title":"Modelling and Measuring the Irrational behaviour of Agents in Financial Markets: Discovering the Psychological Soliton"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1601.01553","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:f41b8e446bd69802e5ef481883ccde4fd447d87b8a2041e6ba43a2512877ca76","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:12:49Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"e785604a84c412bdccdee0aff819978a39a000127ea2398f2918877f2434e401","cross_cats_sorted":["q-fin.MF"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"q-fin.TR","submitted_at":"2016-01-07T15:02:00Z","title_canon_sha256":"17f18de934109e0d316b714b084e5f561541119df5affbfedab7ad462a0d1ce9"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1601.01553","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"01290dae8e7da7181b0b209b4309dd2f6b8416216d98aab064dcf265b38b12c4","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"01290dae8e7da7181b0b209b4309dd2f6b8416216d98aab064dcf265b38b12c4","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T01:12:49.204468Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T01:12:49.204468Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"N9R1ocroraeI+ND811OM0+0uqFP+eN9fB2uQix5Rc1iUWuzfbC0MLt/hdHt/dzCHBAWmAaaWxvNtlLyrsDR2Cg==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T01:12:49.204853Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1601.01553","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:f41b8e446bd69802e5ef481883ccde4fd447d87b8a2041e6ba43a2512877ca76","sha256:b752e6dfd8c1e0f894ed9656cd11afa2ffaea6368253dba50718d6647de3991c"],"state_sha256":"702f8b5d221a54ecb012215df2437670b6bbaf524c7821594c2377700495afa8"}