{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2013:CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCEGW7ULETRT5","short_pith_number":"pith:CVYXSXET","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1312.5934","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2013-12-20T13:14:35Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"ac97d0229306c9857d8c6ab0212912557bb62d491c53dbbfd5a23a3f2c323b77","abstract_canon_sha256":"2931bb70ad5e2475f23514494cbc3910e1577b4a0ef438b71aa5ff53d695e901"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"1571795c93fe4993244435bf4592719f74b0a4cab973e93556251262cecd4e03","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"1312.5934","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1312.5934","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1312.5934v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1312.5934","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"CVYXSXET7ZEZ","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:40Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCE","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:40Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"CVYXSXET","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:40Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2013:CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCEGW7ULETRT5","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1312.5934","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2013-12-20T13:14:35Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"ac97d0229306c9857d8c6ab0212912557bb62d491c53dbbfd5a23a3f2c323b77","abstract_canon_sha256":"2931bb70ad5e2475f23514494cbc3910e1577b4a0ef438b71aa5ff53d695e901"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"1571795c93fe4993244435bf4592719f74b0a4cab973e93556251262cecd4e03","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07.512830Z","signature_b64":"acM73Jg9W9qG5hi+D503Y4lyOh9Bk/gyxT2uLiG1Sj/xRYYwPrGtnDrI4C+qmbfcyu18qyd1sikS0MzhRH6pCQ==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"1571795c93fe4993244435bf4592719f74b0a4cab973e93556251262cecd4e03","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07.512148Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07.512148Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"1312.5934","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"5LInrY2lLhBNe6Y9nmevZAZiwA0fF46L2BVyqxx9HXiPXuSFW+TWq9scaPaln+3fl64KnJmv3s+jlmyEHfMCBA==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-01T10:11:47.333717Z"},"content_sha256":"2ad6a8474309f032f8a0ab390b5f404b7b913b1d9087fdf582cf7e8bab05a8b3","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:2ad6a8474309f032f8a0ab390b5f404b7b913b1d9087fdf582cf7e8bab05a8b3"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2013:CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCEGW7ULETRT5","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Assessment of Point Process Models for Earthquake Forecasting","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"stat.ME","authors_text":"Andrew Bray, Frederic Paik Schoenberg","submitted_at":"2013-12-20T13:14:35Z","abstract_excerpt":"Models for forecasting earthquakes are currently tested prospectively in well-organized testing centers, using data collected after the models and their parameters are completely specified. The extent to which these models agree with the data is typically assessed using a variety of numerical tests, which unfortunately have low power and may be misleading for model comparison purposes. Promising alternatives exist, especially residual methods such as super-thinning and Voronoi residuals. This article reviews some of these tests and residual methods for determining the goodness of fit of earthq"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1312.5934","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"/+LpxKmgOlVwqeuYeNPJj5I1mI/iUkzcjBf7y4v2TN1uOv32+r2zNPr62cIDQVN/OENsLBErfKmCZGTw/CGWBg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-01T10:11:47.334064Z"},"content_sha256":"fa897683ea3f81fadf1b42e55a27d598670ce850fb7014841f213c92d25e1253","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:fa897683ea3f81fadf1b42e55a27d598670ce850fb7014841f213c92d25e1253"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCEGW7ULETRT5/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCEGW7ULETRT5/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCEGW7ULETRT5/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-06-01T10:11:47Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCEGW7ULETRT5","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCEGW7ULETRT5/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCEGW7ULETRT5/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCEGW7ULETRT5/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2013:CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCEGW7ULETRT5","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"2931bb70ad5e2475f23514494cbc3910e1577b4a0ef438b71aa5ff53d695e901","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2013-12-20T13:14:35Z","title_canon_sha256":"ac97d0229306c9857d8c6ab0212912557bb62d491c53dbbfd5a23a3f2c323b77"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1312.5934","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1312.5934","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1312.5934v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1312.5934","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"CVYXSXET7ZEZ","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:40Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"CVYXSXET7ZEZGJCE","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:40Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"CVYXSXET","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:40Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:fa897683ea3f81fadf1b42e55a27d598670ce850fb7014841f213c92d25e1253","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Models for forecasting earthquakes are currently tested prospectively in well-organized testing centers, using data collected after the models and their parameters are completely specified. The extent to which these models agree with the data is typically assessed using a variety of numerical tests, which unfortunately have low power and may be misleading for model comparison purposes. Promising alternatives exist, especially residual methods such as super-thinning and Voronoi residuals. This article reviews some of these tests and residual methods for determining the goodness of fit of earthq","authors_text":"Andrew Bray, Frederic Paik Schoenberg","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2013-12-20T13:14:35Z","title":"Assessment of Point Process Models for Earthquake Forecasting"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1312.5934","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:2ad6a8474309f032f8a0ab390b5f404b7b913b1d9087fdf582cf7e8bab05a8b3","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"2931bb70ad5e2475f23514494cbc3910e1577b4a0ef438b71aa5ff53d695e901","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2013-12-20T13:14:35Z","title_canon_sha256":"ac97d0229306c9857d8c6ab0212912557bb62d491c53dbbfd5a23a3f2c323b77"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1312.5934","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"1571795c93fe4993244435bf4592719f74b0a4cab973e93556251262cecd4e03","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"1571795c93fe4993244435bf4592719f74b0a4cab973e93556251262cecd4e03","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07.512148Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07.512148Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"acM73Jg9W9qG5hi+D503Y4lyOh9Bk/gyxT2uLiG1Sj/xRYYwPrGtnDrI4C+qmbfcyu18qyd1sikS0MzhRH6pCQ==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T03:04:07.512830Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1312.5934","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:2ad6a8474309f032f8a0ab390b5f404b7b913b1d9087fdf582cf7e8bab05a8b3","sha256:fa897683ea3f81fadf1b42e55a27d598670ce850fb7014841f213c92d25e1253"],"state_sha256":"1dec05c4d929f304820cfb2dfcf9ee8d21fa34604d366bc1a64d7860b07863c3"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"xltWfdeDtnPgnPg6HUkq+h4iDB96fYKaznOhRPSD51GxmrDFrBfZGx+DyUtd5gF/9zK4DsCZvwOUnoMYlxM+AQ==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-01T10:11:47.336326Z","bundle_sha256":"5dd0c4b8fc2a1386623866e3fb08d54020565e1ca2a3e42a91653e1081665a14"}}