{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2016:CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC2ARO4PYX5P","short_pith_number":"pith:CY5G7OBY","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1611.09063","kind":"arxiv","version":4},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2016-11-28T10:57:59Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"a13f3aa78ed08b0462f884fde022ff35b149cfe5367db9cc19dc36730887963d","abstract_canon_sha256":"430b13f9a2bff81cedbce0acff2cabcbd41eabe84f9d6b65b181238169296768"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"163a6fb8381462a89882d022ee3f17ebc0f95f3625e6e36f77fe3a886a912554","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"1611.09063","version":4},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1611.09063","created_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1611.09063v4","created_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1611.09063","created_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"CY5G7OBYCRRK","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:09Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:09Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"CY5G7OBY","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:09Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2016:CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC2ARO4PYX5P","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1611.09063","kind":"arxiv","version":4},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2016-11-28T10:57:59Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"a13f3aa78ed08b0462f884fde022ff35b149cfe5367db9cc19dc36730887963d","abstract_canon_sha256":"430b13f9a2bff81cedbce0acff2cabcbd41eabe84f9d6b65b181238169296768"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"163a6fb8381462a89882d022ee3f17ebc0f95f3625e6e36f77fe3a886a912554","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41.041061Z","signature_b64":"0NjWv0/SDnQaDFENwB1qXR1JeI9NBnJfAUU4aOqkpGQyIf+gvjdMJ+L/uKepxIGSU1q+rTqSP0OIHKAwu848AA==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"163a6fb8381462a89882d022ee3f17ebc0f95f3625e6e36f77fe3a886a912554","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41.040573Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41.040573Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"1611.09063","source_version":4,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"mHzaQR/0TaCIerkInC9Lx/+KMYLVdCI7lKFMytLZcwPU5JWY+XD+TJwvZtmmPayunJNSScY+oUr11Gr3m9m9Cg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-05-28T01:43:51.346225Z"},"content_sha256":"bbe0dcad468757642a48e016794cc7b29aa4acabbfa4d76ae45bcfa087667e84","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:bbe0dcad468757642a48e016794cc7b29aa4acabbfa4d76ae45bcfa087667e84"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2016:CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC2ARO4PYX5P","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Estimation of temporal covariances in pathogen dynamics using Bayesian multivariate autoregressive models","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"stat.ME","authors_text":"Arlene Reynolds, Colette Mair, Jim McMenamin, Louise Matthews, Pablo R Murcia, Richard Reeve, Rory Gunson, Sema Nickbakhsh","submitted_at":"2016-11-28T10:57:59Z","abstract_excerpt":"It is well recognised that animal and plant pathogens form complex ecological communities of interacting organisms within their hosts. Although community ecology approaches have been applied to determine pathogen interactions at the within-host scale, methodologies enabling robust inference of the epidemiological impact of pathogen interactions are lacking. Here we developed a novel statistical framework to identify statistical covariances from the infection time-series of multiple pathogens simultaneously. Our framework extends Bayesian multivariate disease mapping models to analyse multivari"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1611.09063","kind":"arxiv","version":4},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"PFHVSUixGcUzvKRjw694cTLaJdRhLct7AMK8OF7ghduou/7r4OiSxxsKsQtqr2Fz7k9OVz/bQASnWhCR48ZQBg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-05-28T01:43:51.346896Z"},"content_sha256":"a254c07fa5ee8ef11d336a2d6d34510352f703518d5cab1c475d492f61458d29","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:a254c07fa5ee8ef11d336a2d6d34510352f703518d5cab1c475d492f61458d29"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC2ARO4PYX5P/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC2ARO4PYX5P/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC2ARO4PYX5P/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-05-28T01:43:51Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC2ARO4PYX5P","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC2ARO4PYX5P/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC2ARO4PYX5P/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC2ARO4PYX5P/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2016:CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC2ARO4PYX5P","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"430b13f9a2bff81cedbce0acff2cabcbd41eabe84f9d6b65b181238169296768","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2016-11-28T10:57:59Z","title_canon_sha256":"a13f3aa78ed08b0462f884fde022ff35b149cfe5367db9cc19dc36730887963d"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1611.09063","kind":"arxiv","version":4}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1611.09063","created_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1611.09063v4","created_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1611.09063","created_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"CY5G7OBYCRRK","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:09Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"CY5G7OBYCRRKRGEC","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:09Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"CY5G7OBY","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:30:09Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:a254c07fa5ee8ef11d336a2d6d34510352f703518d5cab1c475d492f61458d29","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"It is well recognised that animal and plant pathogens form complex ecological communities of interacting organisms within their hosts. Although community ecology approaches have been applied to determine pathogen interactions at the within-host scale, methodologies enabling robust inference of the epidemiological impact of pathogen interactions are lacking. Here we developed a novel statistical framework to identify statistical covariances from the infection time-series of multiple pathogens simultaneously. Our framework extends Bayesian multivariate disease mapping models to analyse multivari","authors_text":"Arlene Reynolds, Colette Mair, Jim McMenamin, Louise Matthews, Pablo R Murcia, Richard Reeve, Rory Gunson, Sema Nickbakhsh","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2016-11-28T10:57:59Z","title":"Estimation of temporal covariances in pathogen dynamics using Bayesian multivariate autoregressive models"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1611.09063","kind":"arxiv","version":4},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:bbe0dcad468757642a48e016794cc7b29aa4acabbfa4d76ae45bcfa087667e84","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"430b13f9a2bff81cedbce0acff2cabcbd41eabe84f9d6b65b181238169296768","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2016-11-28T10:57:59Z","title_canon_sha256":"a13f3aa78ed08b0462f884fde022ff35b149cfe5367db9cc19dc36730887963d"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1611.09063","kind":"arxiv","version":4}},"canonical_sha256":"163a6fb8381462a89882d022ee3f17ebc0f95f3625e6e36f77fe3a886a912554","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"163a6fb8381462a89882d022ee3f17ebc0f95f3625e6e36f77fe3a886a912554","first_computed_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41.040573Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41.040573Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"0NjWv0/SDnQaDFENwB1qXR1JeI9NBnJfAUU4aOqkpGQyIf+gvjdMJ+L/uKepxIGSU1q+rTqSP0OIHKAwu848AA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-17T23:48:41.041061Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1611.09063","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":4}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:bbe0dcad468757642a48e016794cc7b29aa4acabbfa4d76ae45bcfa087667e84","sha256:a254c07fa5ee8ef11d336a2d6d34510352f703518d5cab1c475d492f61458d29"],"state_sha256":"48d22c49a9299dacefc38b336d90d38f833d398ecfe137afa67d066b722cd666"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"md13uaIdzC0h7QBgTqTgCm0WhJ2Nf9gnL2y3WC5E2LeC2YP/cZf5E7L62M4IiPrANYI3c7+t3+WKHnakL62YAg==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-05-28T01:43:51.350011Z","bundle_sha256":"e407150aa0206a919e41224a66a64f2491a3e7bda22b36ec781cc60ea815b07f"}}