{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2015:DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7AZGZ3KIDMMS","short_pith_number":"pith:DIOY5ZRD","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1505.07193","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SI","submitted_at":"2015-05-27T05:30:33Z","cross_cats_sorted":["physics.soc-ph"],"title_canon_sha256":"692c5fe85268a76796ffc7d6a2b5aab4268d40e4820a6d0aaf017f479e55db8f","abstract_canon_sha256":"4de6104fb0254f671bac191d8f1ac501e32ed28d32c272df8f7a76c724b12d49"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"1a1d8ee62340e378c7e0c9b3b5206c64b78de8019237faa36907f7d149612c70","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"1505.07193","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1505.07193","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1505.07193v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1505.07193","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"DIOY5ZRDIDRX","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:29:17Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7A","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:29:17Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"DIOY5ZRD","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:29:17Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2015:DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7AZGZ3KIDMMS","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1505.07193","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SI","submitted_at":"2015-05-27T05:30:33Z","cross_cats_sorted":["physics.soc-ph"],"title_canon_sha256":"692c5fe85268a76796ffc7d6a2b5aab4268d40e4820a6d0aaf017f479e55db8f","abstract_canon_sha256":"4de6104fb0254f671bac191d8f1ac501e32ed28d32c272df8f7a76c724b12d49"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"1a1d8ee62340e378c7e0c9b3b5206c64b78de8019237faa36907f7d149612c70","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07.191225Z","signature_b64":"IBInjqqBbLnnWSJgLKj/gBOKg6oXgZEPtA8CyP3sZJd2UzlurLH8XVOvG0eHrivbzQ6Fv3/FVBV4WQWpb2NUDA==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"1a1d8ee62340e378c7e0c9b3b5206c64b78de8019237faa36907f7d149612c70","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07.190465Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07.190465Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"1505.07193","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"iJmG9OEnsjg4FyeubVoqqnxEXDaSMRZDON0OHE52OeOMzy+ZcJfH6xN4YGcTHE0P2gHxlKmZJ4JcTSmHzkVIBQ==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-06T11:07:14.106512Z"},"content_sha256":"75e15a509102aa96d91f92e31be701020492597ef87a04af1a0c89578239e6d1","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:75e15a509102aa96d91f92e31be701020492597ef87a04af1a0c89578239e6d1"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2015:DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7AZGZ3KIDMMS","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"From Micro to Macro: Uncovering and Predicting Information Cascading Process with Behavioral Dynamics","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["physics.soc-ph"],"primary_cat":"cs.SI","authors_text":"Chaoming Song, Fei Wang, Linyun Yu, Peng Cui, Shiqiang Yang","submitted_at":"2015-05-27T05:30:33Z","abstract_excerpt":"Cascades are ubiquitous in various network environments. How to predict these cascades is highly nontrivial in several vital applications, such as viral marketing, epidemic prevention and traffic management. Most previous works mainly focus on predicting the final cascade sizes. As cascades are typical dynamic processes, it is always interesting and important to predict the cascade size at any time, or predict the time when a cascade will reach a certain size (e.g. an threshold for outbreak). In this paper, we unify all these tasks into a fundamental problem: cascading process prediction. That"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1505.07193","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"zQRYx26OQ+adaYShVqf2YMbg0PXWYJPNSUEN91zaS2HVhzxzeENOnubXggEQyUBPZPSarqZvx//O88hRgWl8Dw==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-06T11:07:14.107216Z"},"content_sha256":"9aba4914d4ff91ef182dfd61db1f08be08abe3edbb50c87587d7d6b817ff4915","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:9aba4914d4ff91ef182dfd61db1f08be08abe3edbb50c87587d7d6b817ff4915"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7AZGZ3KIDMMS/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7AZGZ3KIDMMS/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7AZGZ3KIDMMS/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-06-06T11:07:14Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7AZGZ3KIDMMS","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7AZGZ3KIDMMS/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7AZGZ3KIDMMS/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7AZGZ3KIDMMS/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2015:DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7AZGZ3KIDMMS","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"4de6104fb0254f671bac191d8f1ac501e32ed28d32c272df8f7a76c724b12d49","cross_cats_sorted":["physics.soc-ph"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SI","submitted_at":"2015-05-27T05:30:33Z","title_canon_sha256":"692c5fe85268a76796ffc7d6a2b5aab4268d40e4820a6d0aaf017f479e55db8f"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1505.07193","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1505.07193","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1505.07193v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1505.07193","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"DIOY5ZRDIDRX","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:29:17Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"DIOY5ZRDIDRXRR7A","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:29:17Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"DIOY5ZRD","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:29:17Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:9aba4914d4ff91ef182dfd61db1f08be08abe3edbb50c87587d7d6b817ff4915","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Cascades are ubiquitous in various network environments. How to predict these cascades is highly nontrivial in several vital applications, such as viral marketing, epidemic prevention and traffic management. Most previous works mainly focus on predicting the final cascade sizes. As cascades are typical dynamic processes, it is always interesting and important to predict the cascade size at any time, or predict the time when a cascade will reach a certain size (e.g. an threshold for outbreak). In this paper, we unify all these tasks into a fundamental problem: cascading process prediction. That","authors_text":"Chaoming Song, Fei Wang, Linyun Yu, Peng Cui, Shiqiang Yang","cross_cats":["physics.soc-ph"],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SI","submitted_at":"2015-05-27T05:30:33Z","title":"From Micro to Macro: Uncovering and Predicting Information Cascading Process with Behavioral Dynamics"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1505.07193","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:75e15a509102aa96d91f92e31be701020492597ef87a04af1a0c89578239e6d1","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"4de6104fb0254f671bac191d8f1ac501e32ed28d32c272df8f7a76c724b12d49","cross_cats_sorted":["physics.soc-ph"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SI","submitted_at":"2015-05-27T05:30:33Z","title_canon_sha256":"692c5fe85268a76796ffc7d6a2b5aab4268d40e4820a6d0aaf017f479e55db8f"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1505.07193","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"1a1d8ee62340e378c7e0c9b3b5206c64b78de8019237faa36907f7d149612c70","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"1a1d8ee62340e378c7e0c9b3b5206c64b78de8019237faa36907f7d149612c70","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07.190465Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07.190465Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"IBInjqqBbLnnWSJgLKj/gBOKg6oXgZEPtA8CyP3sZJd2UzlurLH8XVOvG0eHrivbzQ6Fv3/FVBV4WQWpb2NUDA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T02:02:07.191225Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1505.07193","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:75e15a509102aa96d91f92e31be701020492597ef87a04af1a0c89578239e6d1","sha256:9aba4914d4ff91ef182dfd61db1f08be08abe3edbb50c87587d7d6b817ff4915"],"state_sha256":"e780a80c1b3bea1a3a4a70221ee3902dabcb4a8ea6b41e6878d25b205bbe46e1"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"71f9mXlKzG+t+sYN7ibz/cMHb3DP2YxlfsfE35HRRKzuNp7zVvU1pVdFq02S2Mto6z3BY9u37HPFXBuDwPEbAg==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-06T11:07:14.110941Z","bundle_sha256":"9609fdd2c2a4373dd73200a11564c06085fd886f09f31206d57b0cb589cff434"}}