{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2020:DKW44NYHMGAKJHXS6BV3P7ZSSQ","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"52b297d6914fc6d3b9c333f062ebb80141250347cb91d554114c179e82623618","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2020-03-22T20:13:17Z","title_canon_sha256":"fe2c162d4eb366cfcf30c8cca98219cfb8128040ddbbdd36d61846a0fb85fca8"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2003.09983","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2003.09983","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:15:57Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2003.09983v2","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:15:57Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2003.09983","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:15:57Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"DKW44NYHMGAK","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:15:57Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"DKW44NYHMGAKJHXS","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:15:57Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"DKW44NYH","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:15:57Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:3934988b7cf6695193b71dc72f3d141b2e561774b6565389db460acbf5488864","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:15:57Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2003.09983/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Modern decision-making processes require uncertainty-aware models, especially those relying on non-symmetric costs and risk-averse profiles. The objective of this work is to propose a dynamic model for the conditional non-parametric distribution function (CDF) to generate probabilistic forecasts for a renewable generation time series. To do that, we propose an adaptive non-parametric time-series model driven by a regularized multiple-quantile-regression (MQR) framework. In our approach, all regression models are jointly estimated through a single linear optimization problem that finds the glob","authors_text":"Alexandre Street, Cristiano Fernandes, Marcelo Ruas","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2020-03-22T20:13:17Z","title":"A Multi-Quantile Regression Time Series Model with Interquantile Lipschitz Regularization for Wind Power Probabilistic Forecasting"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2003.09983","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:5e05426938604948eda67aa027d6b6ff86ceda729e14e5dbcc73762a4180c734","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:15:57Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"52b297d6914fc6d3b9c333f062ebb80141250347cb91d554114c179e82623618","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2020-03-22T20:13:17Z","title_canon_sha256":"fe2c162d4eb366cfcf30c8cca98219cfb8128040ddbbdd36d61846a0fb85fca8"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2003.09983","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"canonical_sha256":"1aadce37076180a49ef2f06bb7ff329403e5eee4f97754d6724d7a0e9fc9f40a","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"1aadce37076180a49ef2f06bb7ff329403e5eee4f97754d6724d7a0e9fc9f40a","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T02:15:57.131112Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T02:15:57.131112Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"P4jY3Su/98Ah1q1uEmBBDVU43D1mmOyCFnYlrODnanaFhWxnlr3OJKI7iOfoGgJJnMVslHwAUTFMQXS2UrGtBw==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-05T02:15:57.131607Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2003.09983","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":2}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:5e05426938604948eda67aa027d6b6ff86ceda729e14e5dbcc73762a4180c734","sha256:3934988b7cf6695193b71dc72f3d141b2e561774b6565389db460acbf5488864"],"state_sha256":"3d19425a57316ce05c88fd728878c2131f3426e566c1b7eaafae973072a2be5f"}