{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2026:EZPUU7ATTUL3THVMQJYQMFE6AG","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"b476bf4ed7ed0707aa0276ad5e83076fafd84ca03eef3c2ff28a9e228d33006f","cross_cats_sorted":["math.ST","stat.TH"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-05-23T14:33:26Z","title_canon_sha256":"805aa1e4f8423661c739c5307c76cb95dc9142fcbd4e88c330dfcfb6e6b3571a"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2605.24601","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2605.24601","created_at":"2026-05-26T01:03:48Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2605.24601v1","created_at":"2026-05-26T01:03:48Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2605.24601","created_at":"2026-05-26T01:03:48Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"EZPUU7ATTUL3","created_at":"2026-05-26T01:03:48Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"EZPUU7ATTUL3THVM","created_at":"2026-05-26T01:03:48Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"EZPUU7AT","created_at":"2026-05-26T01:03:48Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:ce7ac5028b9f7f934fd0242142eb4c2e3a6cd3b7ae98e8b83196ddde6a1c7c0c","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-26T01:03:48Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2605.24601/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"We propose a general robust prediction framework, termed conformal-projective prediction (CPP), that integrates Bayesian predictive modeling with ideas from conformal prediction. Rather than assessing conformity through residual-based scores, the CPP criterion defines conformity distributionally: a candidate value for a future response is considered conforming to the extent that its inclusion in the data leaves the leave-one-out predictive distributions of the observed responses undisturbed. The framework requires only that the leave-one-out and swapped predictive distributions are available i","authors_text":"Arkaprava Roy, Malay Ghosh","cross_cats":["math.ST","stat.TH"],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-05-23T14:33:26Z","title":"Bayesian Conformal-Projective Prediction"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2605.24601","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:fa6562bd4510d3fd0218172d701e65348b979cc182f0d341974a903af0fe0d59","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-26T01:03:48Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"b476bf4ed7ed0707aa0276ad5e83076fafd84ca03eef3c2ff28a9e228d33006f","cross_cats_sorted":["math.ST","stat.TH"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-05-23T14:33:26Z","title_canon_sha256":"805aa1e4f8423661c739c5307c76cb95dc9142fcbd4e88c330dfcfb6e6b3571a"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2605.24601","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"265f4a7c139d17b99eac827106149e01bf96c0bc9aeaecbfed98bf06bea55bd4","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"265f4a7c139d17b99eac827106149e01bf96c0bc9aeaecbfed98bf06bea55bd4","first_computed_at":"2026-05-26T01:03:48.442298Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-26T01:03:48.442298Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"dpNrCr+PEPCk+uSdBIBWF5agccjWmEoU0GQ2nJLx15anKf/8HOqu7B/v7M6goNyAxClEaOGKCaf8HTtJLAeBBg==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-26T01:03:48.443108Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2605.24601","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:fa6562bd4510d3fd0218172d701e65348b979cc182f0d341974a903af0fe0d59","sha256:ce7ac5028b9f7f934fd0242142eb4c2e3a6cd3b7ae98e8b83196ddde6a1c7c0c"],"state_sha256":"b62c05f88ff44e31d90a77fdb24e706ce0cd64b835d33fd35c0eeff45007becc"}