{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2023:FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A7IWGHEI5QX","short_pith_number":"pith:FF4KDLPS","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2310.12964","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ML","submitted_at":"2023-10-19T17:57:57Z","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.LG"],"title_canon_sha256":"3ca16e148f2d3d335ce3f8e3aa22e65d54d0d08d1075511d67d3a9d4635c7c0e","abstract_canon_sha256":"a6e04fbed1baf0217f847d8af8e1bc7b94b22d2ca9ed7b9fb53f1a6b878bebeb"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"2978a1adf2c6bf20c3c0fa2c63911d85cf6805495b3fa8b0a479395171dbcb74","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"2310.12964","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2310.12964","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2310.12964v1","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2310.12964","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"FF4KDLPSY27S","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"FF4KDLPS","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2023:FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A7IWGHEI5QX","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2310.12964","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ML","submitted_at":"2023-10-19T17:57:57Z","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.LG"],"title_canon_sha256":"3ca16e148f2d3d335ce3f8e3aa22e65d54d0d08d1075511d67d3a9d4635c7c0e","abstract_canon_sha256":"a6e04fbed1baf0217f847d8af8e1bc7b94b22d2ca9ed7b9fb53f1a6b878bebeb"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"2978a1adf2c6bf20c3c0fa2c63911d85cf6805495b3fa8b0a479395171dbcb74","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44.970040Z","signature_b64":"PIzW5KfA0Yd4MGMkvelT+BXzMmeZyZI4IqkO1Dzby4y1jiH50Ie+KLM3SFuLKwGrzZE39c6RnwlaImVPHfp0AA==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"2978a1adf2c6bf20c3c0fa2c63911d85cf6805495b3fa8b0a479395171dbcb74","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44.969551Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44.969551Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"2310.12964","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"sIs1Ifps9mykLNWwulsGNU8D7quJ8J/cCyfYyT7CrfHv1EfMc/VkJW682VxapGnn/VxOH6BUwLANhgEg/hPvBg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-21T12:38:27.232257Z"},"content_sha256":"e87cd1217d685124cc8438bb3cec50b8bf4272ef2f33f5799733618497e45543","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:e87cd1217d685124cc8438bb3cec50b8bf4272ef2f33f5799733618497e45543"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2023:FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A7IWGHEI5QX","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"PAC Prediction Sets Under Label Shift","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["cs.LG"],"primary_cat":"stat.ML","authors_text":"Edgar Dobriban, Insup Lee, Osbert Bastani, Sangdon Park, Wenwen Si","submitted_at":"2023-10-19T17:57:57Z","abstract_excerpt":"Prediction sets capture uncertainty by predicting sets of labels rather than individual labels, enabling downstream decisions to conservatively account for all plausible outcomes. Conformal inference algorithms construct prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true label with high probability. These guarantees fail to hold in the face of distribution shift, which is precisely when reliable uncertainty quantification can be most useful. We propose a novel algorithm for constructing prediction sets with PAC guarantees in the label shift setting. This method estimates the predicted probabilitie"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2310.12964","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2310.12964/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"yee3rMHTfhC8E9efYqIYv8nfHauU6aM5FM3NBV5nDAnkvJ/p5D5p6CN38znfPZw7RHDw4fW9Tywdu5pGtR5HCw==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-21T12:38:27.233208Z"},"content_sha256":"fdb4448c6e078ef18f5f4994900a097b7cf23df64fa0a1046c5cbeb6aae07f19","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:fdb4448c6e078ef18f5f4994900a097b7cf23df64fa0a1046c5cbeb6aae07f19"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A7IWGHEI5QX/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A7IWGHEI5QX/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A7IWGHEI5QX/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-08-21T12:38:27Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A7IWGHEI5QX","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A7IWGHEI5QX/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A7IWGHEI5QX/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A7IWGHEI5QX/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2023:FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A7IWGHEI5QX","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"a6e04fbed1baf0217f847d8af8e1bc7b94b22d2ca9ed7b9fb53f1a6b878bebeb","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.LG"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ML","submitted_at":"2023-10-19T17:57:57Z","title_canon_sha256":"3ca16e148f2d3d335ce3f8e3aa22e65d54d0d08d1075511d67d3a9d4635c7c0e"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2310.12964","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2310.12964","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2310.12964v1","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2310.12964","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"FF4KDLPSY27S","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"FF4KDLPSY27SBQ6A","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"FF4KDLPS","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:fdb4448c6e078ef18f5f4994900a097b7cf23df64fa0a1046c5cbeb6aae07f19","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2310.12964/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Prediction sets capture uncertainty by predicting sets of labels rather than individual labels, enabling downstream decisions to conservatively account for all plausible outcomes. Conformal inference algorithms construct prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true label with high probability. These guarantees fail to hold in the face of distribution shift, which is precisely when reliable uncertainty quantification can be most useful. We propose a novel algorithm for constructing prediction sets with PAC guarantees in the label shift setting. This method estimates the predicted probabilitie","authors_text":"Edgar Dobriban, Insup Lee, Osbert Bastani, Sangdon Park, Wenwen Si","cross_cats":["cs.LG"],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ML","submitted_at":"2023-10-19T17:57:57Z","title":"PAC Prediction Sets Under Label Shift"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2310.12964","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:e87cd1217d685124cc8438bb3cec50b8bf4272ef2f33f5799733618497e45543","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"a6e04fbed1baf0217f847d8af8e1bc7b94b22d2ca9ed7b9fb53f1a6b878bebeb","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.LG"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ML","submitted_at":"2023-10-19T17:57:57Z","title_canon_sha256":"3ca16e148f2d3d335ce3f8e3aa22e65d54d0d08d1075511d67d3a9d4635c7c0e"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2310.12964","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"2978a1adf2c6bf20c3c0fa2c63911d85cf6805495b3fa8b0a479395171dbcb74","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"2978a1adf2c6bf20c3c0fa2c63911d85cf6805495b3fa8b0a479395171dbcb74","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44.969551Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44.969551Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"PIzW5KfA0Yd4MGMkvelT+BXzMmeZyZI4IqkO1Dzby4y1jiH50Ie+KLM3SFuLKwGrzZE39c6RnwlaImVPHfp0AA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-05T07:02:44.970040Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2310.12964","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:e87cd1217d685124cc8438bb3cec50b8bf4272ef2f33f5799733618497e45543","sha256:fdb4448c6e078ef18f5f4994900a097b7cf23df64fa0a1046c5cbeb6aae07f19"],"state_sha256":"d5bd72684c56e086dc4bdf597ae3caeb3bc9711cb18df45f1fe6a9f8d83c410d"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"qmP0+6D1B4E9dnfEEuvHx4bZFfV1w17TzOwGPj+h57TosQxm96v80gkijB3pC9A/2K0P+OZINt+2YgqZxD+lBg==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-21T12:38:27.240204Z","bundle_sha256":"7efe7bfe3f294cbd8fb8ad6c70482c8c3b7aad0c2cd25f795748b80af8b56f76"}}