{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2026:HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5YQBJ42IWFFA","short_pith_number":"pith:HPT4YE4V","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2606.25986","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.LG","submitted_at":"2026-06-24T15:54:09Z","cross_cats_sorted":["q-fin.ST","q-fin.TR"],"title_canon_sha256":"0e258124eba563ff54858d780477f2d3716a3bff8f6c187eb63538ff16f8f2f6","abstract_canon_sha256":"5b837824074d8eabc1fcaccd19198d8f38c54e283eb54fa796a49816296f20a5"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"3be7cc1395351376d3b88053cd22c52814457d2d7466dd00763c161a2cb6987b","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"2606.25986","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2606.25986","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2606.25986v1","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2606.25986","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"HPT4YE4VGUJX","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5Y","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"HPT4YE4V","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2026:HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5YQBJ42IWFFA","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2606.25986","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.LG","submitted_at":"2026-06-24T15:54:09Z","cross_cats_sorted":["q-fin.ST","q-fin.TR"],"title_canon_sha256":"0e258124eba563ff54858d780477f2d3716a3bff8f6c187eb63538ff16f8f2f6","abstract_canon_sha256":"5b837824074d8eabc1fcaccd19198d8f38c54e283eb54fa796a49816296f20a5"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"3be7cc1395351376d3b88053cd22c52814457d2d7466dd00763c161a2cb6987b","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45.037221Z","signature_b64":"JzJUUnawPkGMjkS0eD5WN7v5AFPiruFQ/qIHHntNBs0g4eFpmnwC4Z0bQjFCJIsscV5LcmpuFA6mZB7zT0ctAA==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"3be7cc1395351376d3b88053cd22c52814457d2d7466dd00763c161a2cb6987b","last_reissued_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45.036856Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45.036856Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"2606.25986","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"TaHU6N6DnuWixFSzsJ002z8U2Cnb9aRVOSw+TGLWHkbb29E4Z5WINz9f2g/cvbB/s1OnJO5MofN40pVO0RqPBA==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-28T14:37:36.376046Z"},"content_sha256":"00c2346156241b28cd7d242fb2c8701ac3e12e0fbdcc5db1227ebff5974989e4","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:00c2346156241b28cd7d242fb2c8701ac3e12e0fbdcc5db1227ebff5974989e4"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2026:HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5YQBJ42IWFFA","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"The Inference-Compute Frontier and a Latency-Efficient Architecture for Limit Order Book Prediction","license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["q-fin.ST","q-fin.TR"],"primary_cat":"cs.LG","authors_text":"C. Evans Hedges","submitted_at":"2026-06-24T15:54:09Z","abstract_excerpt":"We study whether a scaling-law-style inference-compute frontier appears in limit order book prediction. Using FI-2010 and a suite of models ranging from small decision trees to neural LOB architectures, we find that the realized empirical frontier of predictive loss versus structural forward work is well summarized by a power law. In particular, with MLPLOB held out as an architecture family, a power-law fit to the low- and mid-compute non-MLPLOB frontier extrapolates across multiple orders of magnitude and attains $R^2=0.941$ on the excluded high-compute MLPLOB target frontier.\n  A similar ex"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2606.25986","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2606.25986/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"t+slmCL455a0Cc/Mr+B9M07nu70wKj2I9vE+FO7nvWqts/y0M3MJ/0NTBV608RgGv2Gdz62pzPYhqFnNuAq1DA==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-28T14:37:36.376428Z"},"content_sha256":"61aa4a41c8a778ce9e1230a9027b7dadc6b5e236123c02499285a5a7cdc02111","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:61aa4a41c8a778ce9e1230a9027b7dadc6b5e236123c02499285a5a7cdc02111"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5YQBJ42IWFFA/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5YQBJ42IWFFA/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5YQBJ42IWFFA/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-06-28T14:37:36Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5YQBJ42IWFFA","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5YQBJ42IWFFA/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5YQBJ42IWFFA/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5YQBJ42IWFFA/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2026:HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5YQBJ42IWFFA","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"5b837824074d8eabc1fcaccd19198d8f38c54e283eb54fa796a49816296f20a5","cross_cats_sorted":["q-fin.ST","q-fin.TR"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.LG","submitted_at":"2026-06-24T15:54:09Z","title_canon_sha256":"0e258124eba563ff54858d780477f2d3716a3bff8f6c187eb63538ff16f8f2f6"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2606.25986","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2606.25986","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2606.25986v1","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2606.25986","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"HPT4YE4VGUJX","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"HPT4YE4VGUJXNU5Y","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"HPT4YE4V","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:61aa4a41c8a778ce9e1230a9027b7dadc6b5e236123c02499285a5a7cdc02111","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2606.25986/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"We study whether a scaling-law-style inference-compute frontier appears in limit order book prediction. Using FI-2010 and a suite of models ranging from small decision trees to neural LOB architectures, we find that the realized empirical frontier of predictive loss versus structural forward work is well summarized by a power law. In particular, with MLPLOB held out as an architecture family, a power-law fit to the low- and mid-compute non-MLPLOB frontier extrapolates across multiple orders of magnitude and attains $R^2=0.941$ on the excluded high-compute MLPLOB target frontier.\n  A similar ex","authors_text":"C. Evans Hedges","cross_cats":["q-fin.ST","q-fin.TR"],"headline":"","license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.LG","submitted_at":"2026-06-24T15:54:09Z","title":"The Inference-Compute Frontier and a Latency-Efficient Architecture for Limit Order Book Prediction"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2606.25986","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:00c2346156241b28cd7d242fb2c8701ac3e12e0fbdcc5db1227ebff5974989e4","target":"record","created_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"5b837824074d8eabc1fcaccd19198d8f38c54e283eb54fa796a49816296f20a5","cross_cats_sorted":["q-fin.ST","q-fin.TR"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.LG","submitted_at":"2026-06-24T15:54:09Z","title_canon_sha256":"0e258124eba563ff54858d780477f2d3716a3bff8f6c187eb63538ff16f8f2f6"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2606.25986","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"3be7cc1395351376d3b88053cd22c52814457d2d7466dd00763c161a2cb6987b","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"3be7cc1395351376d3b88053cd22c52814457d2d7466dd00763c161a2cb6987b","first_computed_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45.036856Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45.036856Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"JzJUUnawPkGMjkS0eD5WN7v5AFPiruFQ/qIHHntNBs0g4eFpmnwC4Z0bQjFCJIsscV5LcmpuFA6mZB7zT0ctAA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-06-25T01:18:45.037221Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2606.25986","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:00c2346156241b28cd7d242fb2c8701ac3e12e0fbdcc5db1227ebff5974989e4","sha256:61aa4a41c8a778ce9e1230a9027b7dadc6b5e236123c02499285a5a7cdc02111"],"state_sha256":"00a68cb7e0eda54b4e65de62a0ec891b85cc10248563c3ed7b2adaaf34a0d66a"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"uEXlxmExDgPUFEKj2LMjiSD0ZxMRvjYnCpUPFx7HiemsiGI12xYv5loRe42zAga1HBXfGXdp+aUMXItCyQyYAw==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-28T14:37:36.378352Z","bundle_sha256":"5ff797c15eddc2244389f8fc99ef3c37468083d437a6cee4d8121808f51be7b4"}}