{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2013:ICM2FU57CFX777K674XKHHVVVE","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"477866448382515260c254ca7d954b80d9066e086eb6619b25413be0bbc2e696","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2013-12-13T10:38:52Z","title_canon_sha256":"c5b6b9aad31e9e08830c04226d0c6fa25ddbbe1df0da65352cb45f3c58466b3a"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1312.3763","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1312.3763","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:36:39Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1312.3763v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:36:39Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1312.3763","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:36:39Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"ICM2FU57CFX7","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:46Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"ICM2FU57CFX777K6","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:46Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"ICM2FU57","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:46Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:e55f6b7b3076e5ce911b1a9363735c14cb2f6ded94f7617aa28f677d3414926b","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:36:39Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"The evolution of the weather can be described by deterministic numerical weather forecasting models. Multiple runs of these models with different initial conditions and/or model physics result in forecast ensembles which are used for estimating the distribution of future atmospheric variables. However, these ensembles are usually under-dispersive and uncalibrated, so post-processing is required.\n  In the present work we compare different versions of Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) and Ensemble Model Output Statistics (EMOS) post-processing methods in order to calibrate 2m temperature and 10m wi","authors_text":"Andr\\'as Hor\\'anyi, D\\'ora Nemoda, S\\'andor Baran","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2013-12-13T10:38:52Z","title":"Comparison of BMA and EMOS statistical calibration methods for temperature and wind speed ensemble weather prediction"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1312.3763","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:2acc50338caf52690277d48b615abaaa24d36eb79a1bb2e7435f1d1a5f166c28","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T01:36:39Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"477866448382515260c254ca7d954b80d9066e086eb6619b25413be0bbc2e696","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2013-12-13T10:38:52Z","title_canon_sha256":"c5b6b9aad31e9e08830c04226d0c6fa25ddbbe1df0da65352cb45f3c58466b3a"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1312.3763","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"4099a2d3bf116ffffd5eff2ea39eb5a93b778ac583a42d8a5af7555ad7b3bfd3","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"4099a2d3bf116ffffd5eff2ea39eb5a93b778ac583a42d8a5af7555ad7b3bfd3","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T01:36:39.011277Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T01:36:39.011277Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"782eH1RN7G1QvWwiIsoA1NHCp4wyPJiZWcnoAm4Fp8Rl431Q3L7BH83Fmnq6BJr3Uyg9TxTzabol/x8zBT+EDg==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T01:36:39.011964Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1312.3763","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:2acc50338caf52690277d48b615abaaa24d36eb79a1bb2e7435f1d1a5f166c28","sha256:e55f6b7b3076e5ce911b1a9363735c14cb2f6ded94f7617aa28f677d3414926b"],"state_sha256":"a6eb0969f94c1ea361aee17e661f5c689e4096c9f44af0722a65ed3461ac30a9"}