{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2026:IHODBVLF4CPAHFINDDNL53CRJQ","short_pith_number":"pith:IHODBVLF","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2606.28685","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-06-27T01:56:22Z","cross_cats_sorted":["stat.CO"],"title_canon_sha256":"c5867fcc51bc5424ae4da1bd30ccd24c0065d2c42be03ac64796aa1e3623cda3","abstract_canon_sha256":"498bd21425f350752582e40f6bbb5286bff6c9260c5e237512d9a06bd39255b7"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"41dc30d565e09e03950d18dabeec514c26bad20923ae25ed6e0d65635afc84e8","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"2606.28685","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2606.28685","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2606.28685v1","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2606.28685","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"IHODBVLF4CPA","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"IHODBVLF4CPAHFIN","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"IHODBVLF","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2026:IHODBVLF4CPAHFINDDNL53CRJQ","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2606.28685","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-06-27T01:56:22Z","cross_cats_sorted":["stat.CO"],"title_canon_sha256":"c5867fcc51bc5424ae4da1bd30ccd24c0065d2c42be03ac64796aa1e3623cda3","abstract_canon_sha256":"498bd21425f350752582e40f6bbb5286bff6c9260c5e237512d9a06bd39255b7"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"41dc30d565e09e03950d18dabeec514c26bad20923ae25ed6e0d65635afc84e8","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47.522932Z","signature_b64":"H4E5XAVmiORHMCz+RjzJKqg5q78ouu+tmYRFaiZfCVLWotbgT/LNXiOzpvhch0r9ucZ4C850g2G19vCt7MPjDg==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"41dc30d565e09e03950d18dabeec514c26bad20923ae25ed6e0d65635afc84e8","last_reissued_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47.522299Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47.522299Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"2606.28685","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"QtrIUDmI3BjG1Kj+D2S2e0VSCDNIIauPRSnbJS7yDm/gUFPIBkaMesfTgI+S9uw3osYxBehRHuAW0pe1Vr4HAQ==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-03T21:43:04.100430Z"},"content_sha256":"1ada7daec017bc04d98d956874d0848859b9cfe3bbee7de203395c87c05130e6","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:1ada7daec017bc04d98d956874d0848859b9cfe3bbee7de203395c87c05130e6"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2026:IHODBVLF4CPAHFINDDNL53CRJQ","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Inverse Probability Weighting in a Post-Bayesian World","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["stat.CO"],"primary_cat":"stat.ME","authors_text":"Owen Thomas, Valeria Vitelli, William Denault","submitted_at":"2026-06-27T01:56:22Z","abstract_excerpt":"We present a justification of the use of Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) in a post-Bayesian framework, in which the bias-correction provided by IPW in a frequentist context is reframed as a reweighting of the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the statistical model and the true data-generating parameter value. We provide a coherent argument in support of this approach, including theoretical results concerning convergence and properties of the generalised belief posteriors. We present examples demonstrating the utility of post-Bayesian IPW in practice: these include two simulated exam"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2606.28685","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2606.28685/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"YGu5oCb1iIqi4NMveveP3ElvGbkFViFjB4eh9TMpNB2QkjxvalHJJpoaq6ojlEtwY0b0NMIAYoxC7lYpny/9Ag==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-03T21:43:04.100962Z"},"content_sha256":"a8bfaad9b79e26b8990e88f56e3fa010dbc7f88cc59f6b902a21e8720da2e2a7","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:a8bfaad9b79e26b8990e88f56e3fa010dbc7f88cc59f6b902a21e8720da2e2a7"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/IHODBVLF4CPAHFINDDNL53CRJQ/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/IHODBVLF4CPAHFINDDNL53CRJQ/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/IHODBVLF4CPAHFINDDNL53CRJQ/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-08-03T21:43:04Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/IHODBVLF4CPAHFINDDNL53CRJQ","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/IHODBVLF4CPAHFINDDNL53CRJQ/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/IHODBVLF4CPAHFINDDNL53CRJQ/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/IHODBVLF4CPAHFINDDNL53CRJQ/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2026:IHODBVLF4CPAHFINDDNL53CRJQ","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"498bd21425f350752582e40f6bbb5286bff6c9260c5e237512d9a06bd39255b7","cross_cats_sorted":["stat.CO"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-06-27T01:56:22Z","title_canon_sha256":"c5867fcc51bc5424ae4da1bd30ccd24c0065d2c42be03ac64796aa1e3623cda3"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2606.28685","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2606.28685","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2606.28685v1","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2606.28685","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"IHODBVLF4CPA","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"IHODBVLF4CPAHFIN","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"IHODBVLF","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:a8bfaad9b79e26b8990e88f56e3fa010dbc7f88cc59f6b902a21e8720da2e2a7","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2606.28685/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"We present a justification of the use of Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) in a post-Bayesian framework, in which the bias-correction provided by IPW in a frequentist context is reframed as a reweighting of the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the statistical model and the true data-generating parameter value. We provide a coherent argument in support of this approach, including theoretical results concerning convergence and properties of the generalised belief posteriors. We present examples demonstrating the utility of post-Bayesian IPW in practice: these include two simulated exam","authors_text":"Owen Thomas, Valeria Vitelli, William Denault","cross_cats":["stat.CO"],"headline":"","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-06-27T01:56:22Z","title":"Inverse Probability Weighting in a Post-Bayesian World"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2606.28685","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:1ada7daec017bc04d98d956874d0848859b9cfe3bbee7de203395c87c05130e6","target":"record","created_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"498bd21425f350752582e40f6bbb5286bff6c9260c5e237512d9a06bd39255b7","cross_cats_sorted":["stat.CO"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-06-27T01:56:22Z","title_canon_sha256":"c5867fcc51bc5424ae4da1bd30ccd24c0065d2c42be03ac64796aa1e3623cda3"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2606.28685","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"41dc30d565e09e03950d18dabeec514c26bad20923ae25ed6e0d65635afc84e8","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"41dc30d565e09e03950d18dabeec514c26bad20923ae25ed6e0d65635afc84e8","first_computed_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47.522299Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47.522299Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"H4E5XAVmiORHMCz+RjzJKqg5q78ouu+tmYRFaiZfCVLWotbgT/LNXiOzpvhch0r9ucZ4C850g2G19vCt7MPjDg==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-06-30T01:16:47.522932Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2606.28685","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:1ada7daec017bc04d98d956874d0848859b9cfe3bbee7de203395c87c05130e6","sha256:a8bfaad9b79e26b8990e88f56e3fa010dbc7f88cc59f6b902a21e8720da2e2a7"],"state_sha256":"727c84f14de91d1f83892a6ce6042db886bbb0caf1c61a97a22444a3ed96425f"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"brC/D3ohnUl7zor3G5rftHp6EIxKcMvjq1PUBaUvJcQtIwOUOi76occ5kuaW3bNJA4ksic8sdiKxFBJzHX1eBQ==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-03T21:43:04.106200Z","bundle_sha256":"27d77c6ca74193084fab8fa2759431817ea81a8461efc61dc7af0b03ce634b65"}}