{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2023:JCMER5RY6ZQL53MJCV2J775OAM","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"6da8662156a8594c63aae32fa51c3dd2937bdf701fa91bdea8c370ea53d77cc5","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.LG","stat.ML"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2023-09-14T17:43:02Z","title_canon_sha256":"e1f98aa069ccd39539dd1d043cd1bbdda25c7a5c4178e57fef35b50995d9bc59"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2309.07893","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2309.07893","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:32:09Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2309.07893v2","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:32:09Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2309.07893","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:32:09Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"JCMER5RY6ZQL","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:32:09Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"JCMER5RY6ZQL53MJ","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:32:09Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"JCMER5RY","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:32:09Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:b01939421fc7baab47846ad757f70369b97f87b51f74a3a4ad53ff1b4440c9d4","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:32:09Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2309.07893/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"In many randomized experiments, the treatment effect of the long-term metric (i.e. the primary outcome of interest) is often difficult or infeasible to measure. Such long-term metrics are often slow to react to changes and sufficiently noisy they are challenging to faithfully estimate in short-horizon experiments. A common alternative is to measure several short-term proxy metrics in the hope they closely track the long-term metric -- so they can be used to effectively guide decision-making in the near-term. We introduce a new statistical framework to both define and construct an optimal proxy","authors_text":"Alexander D'Amour, Jacopo Soriano, Lee Richardson, Nilesh Tripuraneni, Steve Yadlowsky","cross_cats":["cs.LG","stat.ML"],"headline":"","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2023-09-14T17:43:02Z","title":"Choosing a Proxy Metric from Past Experiments"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2309.07893","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:d13f62bcbfab35ae079c366b79a62d63ef1f2df8687ce879a2db380a3129a705","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:32:09Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"6da8662156a8594c63aae32fa51c3dd2937bdf701fa91bdea8c370ea53d77cc5","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.LG","stat.ML"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2023-09-14T17:43:02Z","title_canon_sha256":"e1f98aa069ccd39539dd1d043cd1bbdda25c7a5c4178e57fef35b50995d9bc59"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2309.07893","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"canonical_sha256":"489848f638f660beed8915749fffae032284092301cbf9f610202bd02682fe53","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"489848f638f660beed8915749fffae032284092301cbf9f610202bd02682fe53","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T08:32:09.090840Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T08:32:09.090840Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"Yvx9VZpHOm8+zkWBWB7wXpsIoFFfVJfgtew4rmlKBkCDsYFiegFypMYm8Y2Fu9JlDrQGRmyPa6UWpo73XEhrDA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-05T08:32:09.091309Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2309.07893","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":2}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:d13f62bcbfab35ae079c366b79a62d63ef1f2df8687ce879a2db380a3129a705","sha256:b01939421fc7baab47846ad757f70369b97f87b51f74a3a4ad53ff1b4440c9d4"],"state_sha256":"692fd597e3ad96c90f85b4061b6e22c3b6e7ec7136c0c8c37015d9c62de54d29"}