{"record_type":"pith_number_record","schema_url":"https://pith.science/schemas/pith-number/v1.json","pith_number":"pith:2013:JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2","short_pith_number":"pith:JS3VUTMA","schema_version":"1.0","canonical_sha256":"4cb75a4d80381ab9ead248427a6373ae86d8b7efd3ea019c735d0c2d8e86465f","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"1310.8220","version":1},"attestation_state":"computed","paper":{"title":"Prediction of highly cited papers","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["cs.DL","cs.SI"],"primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","authors_text":"M. E. J. Newman","submitted_at":"2013-10-30T16:28:10Z","abstract_excerpt":"In an article written five years ago [arXiv:0809.0522], we described a method for predicting which scientific papers will be highly cited in the future, even if they are currently not highly cited. Applying the method to real citation data we made predictions about papers we believed would end up being well cited. Here we revisit those predictions, five years on, to see how well we did. Among the over 2000 papers in our original data set, we examine the fifty that, by the measures of our previous study, were predicted to do best and we find that they have indeed received substantially more cit"},"verification_status":{"content_addressed":true,"pith_receipt":true,"author_attested":false,"weak_author_claims":0,"strong_author_claims":0,"externally_anchored":false,"storage_verified":false,"citation_signatures":0,"replication_records":0,"graph_snapshot":true,"references_resolved":false,"formal_links_present":false},"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1310.8220","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","submitted_at":"2013-10-30T16:28:10Z","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.DL","cs.SI"],"title_canon_sha256":"74d4c7b3ebfc6086210d3627840a42645ac908efc60a78b07a34f36c84780895","abstract_canon_sha256":"712ace02687e8aaa8bc11c97b5cf704337a1f9159f0d37ed35feaa4679093843"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-05-18T03:00:02.725401Z","signature_b64":"C9IoaSfcAGuo26ZeiEIU8Op2xVI3xkfFf2WeeOKkdGJ4mX1Ecc8UEzefACIGFX0GgJgFTsyzYqmUvE19EH8aBQ==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"4cb75a4d80381ab9ead248427a6373ae86d8b7efd3ea019c735d0c2d8e86465f","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T03:00:02.724626Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T03:00:02.724626Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Prediction of highly cited papers","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["cs.DL","cs.SI"],"primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","authors_text":"M. E. J. Newman","submitted_at":"2013-10-30T16:28:10Z","abstract_excerpt":"In an article written five years ago [arXiv:0809.0522], we described a method for predicting which scientific papers will be highly cited in the future, even if they are currently not highly cited. Applying the method to real citation data we made predictions about papers we believed would end up being well cited. Here we revisit those predictions, five years on, to see how well we did. Among the over 2000 papers in our original data set, we examine the fifty that, by the measures of our previous study, were predicted to do best and we find that they have indeed received substantially more cit"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1310.8220","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1310.8220","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:00:02.724743+00:00"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1310.8220v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:00:02.724743+00:00"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1310.8220","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:00:02.724743+00:00"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"JS3VUTMAHANL","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:49.015174+00:00"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"JS3VUTMAHANLT2WS","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:49.015174+00:00"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"JS3VUTMA","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:49.015174+00:00"}],"events":[],"event_summary":{},"paper_claims":[],"inbound_citations":{"count":0,"internal_anchor_count":0,"sample":[]},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"sample":[],"anchors":[]},"links":{"html":"https://pith.science/pith/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2","json":"https://pith.science/pith/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2.json","graph_json":"https://pith.science/api/pith-number/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2/graph.json","events_json":"https://pith.science/api/pith-number/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2/events.json","paper":"https://pith.science/paper/JS3VUTMA"},"agent_actions":{"view_html":"https://pith.science/pith/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2","download_json":"https://pith.science/pith/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2.json","view_paper":"https://pith.science/paper/JS3VUTMA","resolve_alias":"https://pith.science/api/pith-number/resolve?arxiv=1310.8220&json=true","fetch_graph":"https://pith.science/api/pith-number/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2/graph.json","fetch_events":"https://pith.science/api/pith-number/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2/events.json","actions":{"anchor_timestamp":"https://pith.science/pith/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2/action/timestamp_anchor","attest_storage":"https://pith.science/pith/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2/action/storage_attestation","attest_author":"https://pith.science/pith/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2/action/author_attestation","sign_citation":"https://pith.science/pith/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2/action/citation_signature","submit_replication":"https://pith.science/pith/JS3VUTMAHANLT2WSJBBHUY3TV2/action/replication_record"}},"created_at":"2026-05-18T03:00:02.724743+00:00","updated_at":"2026-05-18T03:00:02.724743+00:00"}