{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2017:LEG3MMISF3OHVNRLZ6762X2EF4","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"fa4321783a9190f99217795c0717b0693e5922d25eb2009968ed2199215f064a","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.AI","cs.CE"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.LG","submitted_at":"2017-03-08T23:54:09Z","title_canon_sha256":"7fcee203a24d1818c17458e7e54de16b4adf6f5dcf308adb16082d4ce4936b97"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1703.03076","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1703.03076","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:18:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1703.03076v2","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:18:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1703.03076","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:18:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"LEG3MMISF3OH","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:31:28Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"LEG3MMISF3OHVNRL","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:31:28Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"LEG3MMIS","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:31:28Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:cb84e09f07c92070e33786800d7504aa4a7b95794e255ed14f85cfcabe148dd0","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:18:31Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"The most recent financial upheavals have cast doubt on the adequacy of some of the conventional quantitative risk management strategies, such as VaR (Value at Risk), in many common situations. Consequently, there has been an increasing need for verisimilar financial stress testings, namely simulating and analyzing financial portfolios in extreme, albeit rare scenarios. Unlike conventional risk management which exploits statistical correlations among financial instruments, here we focus our analysis on the notion of probabilistic causation, which is embodied by Suppes-Bayes Causal Networks (SBC","authors_text":"Bud Mishra, Daniele Ramazzotti, Gelin Gao","cross_cats":["cs.AI","cs.CE"],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.LG","submitted_at":"2017-03-08T23:54:09Z","title":"Causal Data Science for Financial Stress Testing"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1703.03076","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:41c9a350ab9e8d48414ae154e4fec85863ad57fbbda00f8de6df8cc0b93c58e6","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T00:18:31Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"fa4321783a9190f99217795c0717b0693e5922d25eb2009968ed2199215f064a","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.AI","cs.CE"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.LG","submitted_at":"2017-03-08T23:54:09Z","title_canon_sha256":"7fcee203a24d1818c17458e7e54de16b4adf6f5dcf308adb16082d4ce4936b97"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1703.03076","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"canonical_sha256":"590db631122edc7ab62bcfbfed5f442f3394afaea5e8bbe21cdb6993e45f60ff","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"590db631122edc7ab62bcfbfed5f442f3394afaea5e8bbe21cdb6993e45f60ff","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T00:18:31.929988Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T00:18:31.929988Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"F3Z7IhhJW798hWhajq9UE5mWnZenyc5yFIcKc167wiVTvxxsSz5Z4o4aVlpGACf+Zy+ysmirdE+X+K246CVrDQ==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T00:18:31.930416Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1703.03076","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":2}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:41c9a350ab9e8d48414ae154e4fec85863ad57fbbda00f8de6df8cc0b93c58e6","sha256:cb84e09f07c92070e33786800d7504aa4a7b95794e255ed14f85cfcabe148dd0"],"state_sha256":"ccc94ea0a79b475954b1bcb7dbc85f9a359f639a33e2b6e67e3c0b98ecdc05d1"}