{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2025:LOP5TFUOHL22FIIMTW5IBICUCR","short_pith_number":"pith:LOP5TFUO","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2507.19470","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CL","submitted_at":"2025-07-25T17:55:13Z","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.HC"],"title_canon_sha256":"0402c25b691f39dcc35d4a216cfb76900818e5217d720d2387c669dcbe6f8fed","abstract_canon_sha256":"5a6fb6b2945d0b5dd1bfff486f86e1199c44e285bf6f4a6614640f12f9bfa1e4"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"5b9fd9968e3af5a2a10c9dba80a0541461a1fac6bde13050096baf6db01a427e","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"2507.19470","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2507.19470","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2507.19470v1","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2507.19470","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"LOP5TFUOHL22","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"LOP5TFUOHL22FIIM","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"LOP5TFUO","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2025:LOP5TFUOHL22FIIMTW5IBICUCR","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2507.19470","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CL","submitted_at":"2025-07-25T17:55:13Z","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.HC"],"title_canon_sha256":"0402c25b691f39dcc35d4a216cfb76900818e5217d720d2387c669dcbe6f8fed","abstract_canon_sha256":"5a6fb6b2945d0b5dd1bfff486f86e1199c44e285bf6f4a6614640f12f9bfa1e4"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"5b9fd9968e3af5a2a10c9dba80a0541461a1fac6bde13050096baf6db01a427e","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25.854223Z","signature_b64":"hvkqcyWQWMpIrZRYaBgO8LgJN03E/S0mtwoWE2li6q6QkPytiCt4va86D04kygHBuYdzbTR+vrqP8kcPGhUGCQ==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"5b9fd9968e3af5a2a10c9dba80a0541461a1fac6bde13050096baf6db01a427e","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25.853769Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25.853769Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"2507.19470","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"ngQXN/r8AOw8li+lpqigikMByEg0M89wOe3cDaPPzSiaaSO2FuH6ivN9GngexJFW/KCgmJ7rLT3Y6p2F8P7/Dg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-12T10:00:46.220356Z"},"content_sha256":"e053d1a8a4ac84fa31416cedad5db020ba17b0a4aec23127e64fb00db3fdeccf","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:e053d1a8a4ac84fa31416cedad5db020ba17b0a4aec23127e64fb00db3fdeccf"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2025:LOP5TFUOHL22FIIMTW5IBICUCR","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Conversations Gone Awry, But Then? Evaluating Conversational Forecasting Models","license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["cs.HC"],"primary_cat":"cs.CL","authors_text":"Cristian Danescu-Niculescu-Mizil, Jonathan P. Chang, Nicholas Chernogor, Son Quoc Tran, Tushaar Gangavarapu","submitted_at":"2025-07-25T17:55:13Z","abstract_excerpt":"We often rely on our intuition to anticipate the direction of a conversation. Endowing automated systems with similar foresight can enable them to assist human-human interactions. Recent work on developing models with this predictive capacity has focused on the Conversations Gone Awry (CGA) task: forecasting whether an ongoing conversation will derail. In this work, we revisit this task and introduce the first uniform evaluation framework, creating a benchmark that enables direct and reliable comparisons between different architectures. This allows us to present an up-to-date overview of the c"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2507.19470","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2507.19470/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"uNpM7jXypzWr04E+a3mp9dqVQieD3n7DzNbgKedqFB1AEj2OX0EdiOFv/Ia6Tw8ahAucl0jjFhuCCQVhPyQIAA==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-12T10:00:46.220913Z"},"content_sha256":"de921cdf18ad7d8f965f10c2b318c0a4f991f41d7d1c1a93ff5fd688efc4bcdf","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:de921cdf18ad7d8f965f10c2b318c0a4f991f41d7d1c1a93ff5fd688efc4bcdf"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/LOP5TFUOHL22FIIMTW5IBICUCR/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/LOP5TFUOHL22FIIMTW5IBICUCR/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/LOP5TFUOHL22FIIMTW5IBICUCR/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-08-12T10:00:46Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/LOP5TFUOHL22FIIMTW5IBICUCR","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/LOP5TFUOHL22FIIMTW5IBICUCR/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/LOP5TFUOHL22FIIMTW5IBICUCR/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/LOP5TFUOHL22FIIMTW5IBICUCR/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2025:LOP5TFUOHL22FIIMTW5IBICUCR","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"5a6fb6b2945d0b5dd1bfff486f86e1199c44e285bf6f4a6614640f12f9bfa1e4","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.HC"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CL","submitted_at":"2025-07-25T17:55:13Z","title_canon_sha256":"0402c25b691f39dcc35d4a216cfb76900818e5217d720d2387c669dcbe6f8fed"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2507.19470","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2507.19470","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2507.19470v1","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2507.19470","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"LOP5TFUOHL22","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"LOP5TFUOHL22FIIM","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"LOP5TFUO","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:de921cdf18ad7d8f965f10c2b318c0a4f991f41d7d1c1a93ff5fd688efc4bcdf","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2507.19470/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"We often rely on our intuition to anticipate the direction of a conversation. Endowing automated systems with similar foresight can enable them to assist human-human interactions. Recent work on developing models with this predictive capacity has focused on the Conversations Gone Awry (CGA) task: forecasting whether an ongoing conversation will derail. In this work, we revisit this task and introduce the first uniform evaluation framework, creating a benchmark that enables direct and reliable comparisons between different architectures. This allows us to present an up-to-date overview of the c","authors_text":"Cristian Danescu-Niculescu-Mizil, Jonathan P. Chang, Nicholas Chernogor, Son Quoc Tran, Tushaar Gangavarapu","cross_cats":["cs.HC"],"headline":"","license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CL","submitted_at":"2025-07-25T17:55:13Z","title":"Conversations Gone Awry, But Then? Evaluating Conversational Forecasting Models"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2507.19470","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:e053d1a8a4ac84fa31416cedad5db020ba17b0a4aec23127e64fb00db3fdeccf","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"5a6fb6b2945d0b5dd1bfff486f86e1199c44e285bf6f4a6614640f12f9bfa1e4","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.HC"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CL","submitted_at":"2025-07-25T17:55:13Z","title_canon_sha256":"0402c25b691f39dcc35d4a216cfb76900818e5217d720d2387c669dcbe6f8fed"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2507.19470","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"5b9fd9968e3af5a2a10c9dba80a0541461a1fac6bde13050096baf6db01a427e","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"5b9fd9968e3af5a2a10c9dba80a0541461a1fac6bde13050096baf6db01a427e","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25.853769Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25.853769Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"hvkqcyWQWMpIrZRYaBgO8LgJN03E/S0mtwoWE2li6q6QkPytiCt4va86D04kygHBuYdzbTR+vrqP8kcPGhUGCQ==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-05T11:43:25.854223Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2507.19470","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:e053d1a8a4ac84fa31416cedad5db020ba17b0a4aec23127e64fb00db3fdeccf","sha256:de921cdf18ad7d8f965f10c2b318c0a4f991f41d7d1c1a93ff5fd688efc4bcdf"],"state_sha256":"b200897f44698374a409764d048f3a67696df74ec9290ce15c37a3431cc6eb3a"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"neaa6fcRj3VKhUvx0iZzPFLao1ODAqLFZ8fg/hhlr02xr8XhcCjqYmjz0ZXM+40QNPT782sRWbf6pmb77jN7Cw==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-12T10:00:46.226170Z","bundle_sha256":"bd1bb2ce704199234c584c4622a4eefbceff3a101a655f84dc7dca56044e8113"}}