{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2026:N2VRFISRJXBNFTKVGCSA2JDYKO","short_pith_number":"pith:N2VRFISR","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2608.10356","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-08-11T01:28:47Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"e91c06ec44136be6e490151293d7e78ebc1f6d33102687fa661a7a4919555038","abstract_canon_sha256":"8f319a2844de420b2115b77f5b9865f047736cb7f4884557b7dd8c6812387281"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"6eab12a2514dc2d2cd5530a40d247853a325f83e67703fe31d17c653d1d0ae1e","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"2608.10356","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2608.10356","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2608.10356v1","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2608.10356","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"N2VRFISRJXBN","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"N2VRFISRJXBNFTKV","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"N2VRFISR","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2026:N2VRFISRJXBNFTKVGCSA2JDYKO","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2608.10356","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-08-11T01:28:47Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"e91c06ec44136be6e490151293d7e78ebc1f6d33102687fa661a7a4919555038","abstract_canon_sha256":"8f319a2844de420b2115b77f5b9865f047736cb7f4884557b7dd8c6812387281"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"6eab12a2514dc2d2cd5530a40d247853a325f83e67703fe31d17c653d1d0ae1e","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56.458807Z","signature_b64":"MRGY0XzJrNY7hkjHFMjNJnTR0SQmE81ghBAAbeJc+JdnODl1i6fOq9blmSdkWWaxrN13Nzk9zwQCa80iAeKEDw==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"6eab12a2514dc2d2cd5530a40d247853a325f83e67703fe31d17c653d1d0ae1e","last_reissued_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56.457201Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56.457201Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"2608.10356","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"uNHd2pSB+zd0jgpuAA4u/cq/eHssZfIFL9yIcP0E37D0u7Frhio/p2Z53RQ2LSuweZVyhRU29up+QAvTXnEEBA==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-19T22:34:44.679248Z"},"content_sha256":"5399ea937516803fa33f36210cdf224731a3bfcafbd0a23c4addcafeeccaed7c","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:5399ea937516803fa33f36210cdf224731a3bfcafbd0a23c4addcafeeccaed7c"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2026:N2VRFISRJXBNFTKVGCSA2JDYKO","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Design-Based Prediction-Powered Inference for Spatial Data","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"stat.ME","authors_text":"Shinichiro Shirota","submitted_at":"2026-08-11T01:28:47Z","abstract_excerpt":"Prediction-powered inference (PPI) combines a wall-to-wall prediction map with a small gold-standard sample to give confidence intervals valid whatever the map's quality. Canonical PPI theory starts from i.i.d.\\ labelling, whereas spatial labels arrive through survey designs or covariate-driven mechanisms, and map errors may be spatially correlated. We recast PPI in a design-based framework: the estimand is a census parameter of a fixed spatial population, with randomness arising from the labelling mechanism. We derive exact design variances under simple and stratified sampling, a threshold fo"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2608.10356","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2608.10356/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"KGKlRjcNcaMOTD7EXAV+ir6po0W6K8MImpd9+q2aN0MFwUbC29a87YGyQ2RvbwHzZ2Cbs3kcTZCQBUW4id2kBg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-19T22:34:44.679742Z"},"content_sha256":"177f067db9a766485bc7315bf72f190d431326f62bd83402dadb933f09f35f39","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:177f067db9a766485bc7315bf72f190d431326f62bd83402dadb933f09f35f39"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/N2VRFISRJXBNFTKVGCSA2JDYKO/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/N2VRFISRJXBNFTKVGCSA2JDYKO/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/N2VRFISRJXBNFTKVGCSA2JDYKO/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-08-19T22:34:44Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/N2VRFISRJXBNFTKVGCSA2JDYKO","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/N2VRFISRJXBNFTKVGCSA2JDYKO/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/N2VRFISRJXBNFTKVGCSA2JDYKO/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/N2VRFISRJXBNFTKVGCSA2JDYKO/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2026:N2VRFISRJXBNFTKVGCSA2JDYKO","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"8f319a2844de420b2115b77f5b9865f047736cb7f4884557b7dd8c6812387281","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-08-11T01:28:47Z","title_canon_sha256":"e91c06ec44136be6e490151293d7e78ebc1f6d33102687fa661a7a4919555038"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2608.10356","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2608.10356","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2608.10356v1","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2608.10356","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"N2VRFISRJXBN","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"N2VRFISRJXBNFTKV","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"N2VRFISR","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:177f067db9a766485bc7315bf72f190d431326f62bd83402dadb933f09f35f39","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2608.10356/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Prediction-powered inference (PPI) combines a wall-to-wall prediction map with a small gold-standard sample to give confidence intervals valid whatever the map's quality. Canonical PPI theory starts from i.i.d.\\ labelling, whereas spatial labels arrive through survey designs or covariate-driven mechanisms, and map errors may be spatially correlated. We recast PPI in a design-based framework: the estimand is a census parameter of a fixed spatial population, with randomness arising from the labelling mechanism. We derive exact design variances under simple and stratified sampling, a threshold fo","authors_text":"Shinichiro Shirota","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-08-11T01:28:47Z","title":"Design-Based Prediction-Powered Inference for Spatial Data"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2608.10356","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:5399ea937516803fa33f36210cdf224731a3bfcafbd0a23c4addcafeeccaed7c","target":"record","created_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"8f319a2844de420b2115b77f5b9865f047736cb7f4884557b7dd8c6812387281","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2026-08-11T01:28:47Z","title_canon_sha256":"e91c06ec44136be6e490151293d7e78ebc1f6d33102687fa661a7a4919555038"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2608.10356","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"6eab12a2514dc2d2cd5530a40d247853a325f83e67703fe31d17c653d1d0ae1e","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"6eab12a2514dc2d2cd5530a40d247853a325f83e67703fe31d17c653d1d0ae1e","first_computed_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56.457201Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56.457201Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"MRGY0XzJrNY7hkjHFMjNJnTR0SQmE81ghBAAbeJc+JdnODl1i6fOq9blmSdkWWaxrN13Nzk9zwQCa80iAeKEDw==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-08-12T00:23:56.458807Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2608.10356","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:5399ea937516803fa33f36210cdf224731a3bfcafbd0a23c4addcafeeccaed7c","sha256:177f067db9a766485bc7315bf72f190d431326f62bd83402dadb933f09f35f39"],"state_sha256":"faf207a993bb2666b097db0a6e995a76edfc8fbe4a2737cea00b16bd7b76b20e"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"a8L86tHt1ajcEWVwnOp87oUktE94rWvlXUo/3LZ1oJTre+EDr7J3j/Mx3+WGvNpNb32arJxTsUBn1xyFzkhNAw==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-19T22:34:44.684394Z","bundle_sha256":"c19b4c5df62bfdd9dc4dc0f3cc1da2be9d124ab0d09fc027e79c1a91f99995ed"}}