{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2024:NDFUZJ4MLUHO2F6I5VGV6DBEHW","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"3273879d652ced55f81cef886310592cdc3c89f10dda1ef12a7cc349ebf8bf8f","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.LG","stat.ME"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ML","submitted_at":"2024-02-02T04:42:09Z","title_canon_sha256":"1b9aba198d4228d2d14516634cc3a6a0e07240889c3fc9c0d88843a79d2f729d"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2402.01139","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2402.01139","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:24:00Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2402.01139v2","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:24:00Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2402.01139","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:24:00Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"NDFUZJ4MLUHO","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:24:00Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"NDFUZJ4MLUHO2F6I","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:24:00Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"NDFUZJ4M","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:24:00Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:d1233bdff98a82c12a69b6ce8a876b5d8a0dcebf9a2c84bfeaad3d87a28d963c","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:24:00Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2402.01139/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"We introduce a method for online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes. Like previous methods, ours possesses a retrospective guarantee of coverage for arbitrary sequences. However, unlike previous methods, we can simultaneously estimate a population quantile when it exists. Our theory and experiments indicate substantially improved practical properties: in particular, when the distribution is stable, the coverage is close to the desired level for every time point, not just on average over the observed sequence.","authors_text":"Anastasios N. Angelopoulos, Rina Foygel Barber, Stephen Bates","cross_cats":["cs.LG","stat.ME"],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ML","submitted_at":"2024-02-02T04:42:09Z","title":"Online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2402.01139","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:b0ee92bd75c7909356165911bc58c6f373ef31b658be6ab7330ff8583c1f8245","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:24:00Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"3273879d652ced55f81cef886310592cdc3c89f10dda1ef12a7cc349ebf8bf8f","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.LG","stat.ME"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ML","submitted_at":"2024-02-02T04:42:09Z","title_canon_sha256":"1b9aba198d4228d2d14516634cc3a6a0e07240889c3fc9c0d88843a79d2f729d"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2402.01139","kind":"arxiv","version":2}},"canonical_sha256":"68cb4ca78c5d0eed17c8ed4d5f0c243db4a6a9074b0f0b6fdab0bb60e9e4d778","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"68cb4ca78c5d0eed17c8ed4d5f0c243db4a6a9074b0f0b6fdab0bb60e9e4d778","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T08:24:00.493333Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T08:24:00.493333Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"nKJXBT2Y4S0yV8yqemLIHVLcDXUPbVdvocyMlQiu0MfRB3mKJZves9kz7gNRBinT9EKt9BjYYl0E81bzWOJRCQ==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-05T08:24:00.493869Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2402.01139","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":2}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:b0ee92bd75c7909356165911bc58c6f373ef31b658be6ab7330ff8583c1f8245","sha256:d1233bdff98a82c12a69b6ce8a876b5d8a0dcebf9a2c84bfeaad3d87a28d963c"],"state_sha256":"9f099058bf0bc78471677a8006bd34b9ebc737f829a18fe4850cd282eee09f20"}